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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 31, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 69% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Greenway–Mittelstadt–BensonSkinner–Tuch–ThompsonCozens–Quinn–PeterkaOkposo–Girgensons–KrebsOkposo–Krebs–PeterkaGirgensons–Cozens–QuinnOkposo–Greenway–KrebsSamuelsson–DahlinJokiharju–PowerClifton–JohnsonJokiharju–JohnsonDahlin–Johnson
Tarasenko–Batherson–Stützle1:540.00–0.146:250.36–0.360:570.00–0.012:020.13–0.063:370.00–0.144:170.26–0.44
Giroux–Norris–Tkachuk3:270.01–0.252:090.06–0.072:000.08–0.100:360.00–0.035:020.08–0.292:180.06–0.130:570.00–0.06
Kubalik–Kelly–Greig0:480.00–0.141:060.01–0.002:200.11–0.000:480.11–0.092:100.11–0.181:520.11–0.002:020.00–0.09
Giroux–Tarasenko–Norris0:470.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle0:350.00–0.130:440.00–0.13
Kubalik–Batherson–Stützle0:550.04–0.00
Hamonic–Chychrun2:320.00–0.202:190.00–0.001:440.00–0.002:410.11–0.211:230.00–0.195:010.11–0.163:160.02–0.05
Chabot–Bernard-Docker2:260.04–0.002:420.26–0.323:450.38–0.105:230.51–0.082:020.02–0.211:410.12–0.240:380.01–0.00
Sanderson–Zub1:330.00–0.205:230.21–0.112:500.00–0.242:380.06–0.102:430.15–0.09
Chabot–Chychrun0:490.00–0.000:390.00–0.01
Chychrun–Zub0:450.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FGiroux FStützle FTarasenko FBatherson FKubalik FGreig FKelly FMacEwen FKastelic FBernard-Docker DChabot DZub DSanderson DChychrun DHamonic DBrannstrom DForsberg GQuinn FCozens FPeterka FSkinner FTuch FThompson FBenson FMittelstadt FGreenway FKrebs FOkposo FGirgensons FSamuelsson DDahlin DPower DJokiharju DJohnson DClifton DLevi G
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2925:440:531:5882
Artem ZubOTT2621:500:501:2518
Jakob ChychrunOTT2521:180:511:4354
Thomas ChabotOTT2721:010:471:5524
Casey MittelstadtBUF2120:200:581:5791
Jeff SkinnerBUF2219:310:531:3362
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2719:270:431:2865
Alex TuchBUF2219:230:531:1971
Tage ThompsonBUF2219:220:531:2052
Tim StützleOTT2219:150:531:1313
Jake SandersonOTT2619:150:441:2328
Claude GirouxOTT2518:580:461:4427
Owen PowerBUF2618:030:421:2943
Ryan JohnsonBUF2217:250:481:2021
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2617:010:391:0903
Travis HamonicOTT2216:560:461:4234
Drake BathersonOTT2116:520:481:2013
Henri JokiharjuBUF2416:510:421:2935
Jordan GreenwayBUF1615:581:001:4432
Zach BensonBUF1815:550:531:2151
Parker KellyOTT2315:270:401:1507
Jack QuinnBUF2215:220:421:2542
Erik BrannstromOTT2115:130:431:1242
JJ PeterkaBUF2114:500:421:2641
Josh NorrisOTT2314:240:381:1422
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT1814:140:471:2311
Connor CliftonBUF2114:140:411:0613
Dylan CozensBUF2213:570:381:1543
Ridly GreigOTT2213:070:361:2703
Brady TkachukOTT2212:110:331:0723
Zack MacEwenOTT1611:310:431:0942
Kyle OkposoBUF1610:560:411:2053
Mark KastelicOTT1810:450:361:0442
Dominik KubalikOTT1710:420:381:1022
Peyton KrebsBUF1510:140:411:1442
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF169:260:351:0964