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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 2, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Protas, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Protas, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 0:55Goal by Wilson (Sandin, Bear)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Smith, Rust, Graves · WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Bear, Sandin

  5. P1 1:19Shot by Graves, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 5:03Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 8:29Shot by Edmundson, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 11:16Goal by Malenstyn (Dowd)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rakell, Guentzel, Graves · WSH Jensen, Dowd, Edmundson, Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn

  9. P1 13:02Goal by Fehérváry (Strome, Lapierre)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Ruhwedel, Harkins, Acciari, Joseph · WSH Carlson, Strome, Phillips, Fehérváry, Lapierre

  10. P1 13:22Shot by Sandin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  11. P1 13:46Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  12. P1 15:31Shot by Karlsson, saved by Kuemper
  13. P1 15:39Shot by Acciari, saved by Kuemper
  14. P1 17:45Puustinen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Eller, Pettersson, Puustinen, O'Connor · WSH Carlson, Strome, Phillips, Fehérváry, Lapierre

  15. P1 18:19Shot by Carlson, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  16. P1 18:41Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper4v5
  17. P1 19:18Goal by Ovechkin (Sandin, Mantha)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Rust, Ruhwedel, Graves, Acciari · WSH Ovechkin, Mantha, Sandin, McMichael, Protas

  18. P1 19:48Shot by Joseph, saved by Kuemper
  19. P1 19:56Goal by Rakell (Karlsson, Joseph)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph · WSH Dowd, Aube-Kubel, Bear, Malenstyn, Fehérváry

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:20Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  23. P2 2:31Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Nedeljkovic
  24. P2 3:56Shot by Graves, saved by Kuemper
  25. P2 4:40Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P2 5:06Shot by Mantha, saved by Nedeljkovic
  27. P2 5:46Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  28. P2 6:48Shot by Phillips, saved by Nedeljkovic
  29. P2 6:57Shot by Bear, saved by Nedeljkovic
  30. P2 7:32Edmundson: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Karlsson, Harkins, Acciari, Joseph · WSH Edmundson, Strome, Bear, Phillips, Lapierre

  31. P2 8:21Shot by Rakell, saved by Kuemper5v4
  32. P2 8:22Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  33. P2 9:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper5v4
  34. P2 9:11Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Malkin)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Guentzel · WSH Jensen, Dowd, Malenstyn, Sandin

  35. P2 9:56Shot by McMichael, saved by Nedeljkovic
  36. P2 10:57Shot by Acciari, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 12:33Shot by Rust, saved by Kuemper
  38. P2 12:49Shot by Karlsson, saved by Kuemper
  39. P2 12:51Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper
  40. P2 12:52Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper
  41. P2 13:16Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  42. P2 13:41Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 14:45Carter: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Ruhwedel, Graves, Harkins, Acciari · WSH Jensen, Edmundson, Mantha, Strome, McMichael

  44. P2 17:51Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Kuemper
  45. P2 17:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper
  46. P2 18:52Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper
  47. P2 18:54Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Rakell)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Sandin

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:30Shot by Protas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  51. P3 1:27Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  52. P3 1:42Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Kuemper
  53. P3 1:58Shot by Eller, saved by Kuemper
  54. P3 1:59Shot by Eller, saved by Kuemper
  55. P3 2:00Shot by Eller, saved by Kuemper
  56. P3 5:18Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  57. P3 5:28Fehérváry: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Aube-Kubel, Malenstyn, Fehérváry

  58. P3 6:18Shot by Rakell, saved by Kuemper5v4
  59. P3 7:39Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  60. P3 8:05Shot by Smith, saved by Kuemper
  61. P3 9:30Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  62. P3 10:40Bear: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Smith, Rust, Joseph · WSH Mantha, Bear, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  63. P3 10:56Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper5v4
  64. P3 12:02Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  65. P3 12:31Shot by Carter, saved by Kuemper5v4
  66. P3 19:37Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper6v5
  67. P3 19:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper6v5
  68. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  69. P3 0:00Final6v5