Tue, Jan 2, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 79% of the time.
71%
8%
15%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:11 | 0.16 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.05 | 49.6% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.05 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.44 | 36.7% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:54 | 0.22 | 38.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.03 | 39.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.17 | 29.6% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.19 | 35.2% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 60.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.01 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.06 | 62.6% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.29 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.05 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 42.5% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.26 | 41.5% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:30 | 0.20 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.95 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:01 | 0.18 | 65.2% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:55 | 0.08 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 23:16 | 1.10 | 48.8% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:27 | 0.22 | 46.8% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.38 | 50.1% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.08 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 22:02 | 0.95 | 71.7% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.23 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.02 | 72.2% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.12 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.03 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:23 | 0.25 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.22 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:18 | 0.04 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.06 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:50 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:37 | 0.00 | 84.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 0.46 | −2.5 | 13:02 | |
| L | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 1.31 | +0.3 | 44:27 |