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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 2, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Detroit Red Wings 5, San Jose Sharks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 57% of the time.

SJS winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Perron, saved by Kahkonen
  3. P1 0:59Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Kahkonen
  4. P1 3:50Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 4:18Addison: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hoffman, Granlund, Burroughs, Zetterlund, Addison · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond

  6. P1 6:02Shot by Sprong, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  7. P1 6:11Goal by Sprong (Raymond, Gostisbehere)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Granlund, Kunin, Ferraro, Rutta · DET Perron, Gostisbehere, Compher, Sprong, Raymond

  8. P1 6:38Shot by Copp, saved by Kahkonen
  9. P1 7:29Shot by Ferraro, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 9:20Shot by Sprong, saved by Kahkonen
  11. P1 9:32Shot by Zadina, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 11:07Shot by Hertl, saved by Lyon
  13. P1 11:14Shot by Duclair, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 11:30Shot by Thrun, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 14:21Shot by Hertl, saved by Lyon
  16. P1 16:07Shot by Zadina, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 16:45Shot by Granlund, saved by Lyon
  18. P1 16:50Goal by Zetterlund (Granlund, Hoffman)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hoffman, Granlund, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Emberson · DET Chiarot, Gostisbehere, Copp, Rasmussen, Veleno

  19. P1 17:37Shot by Kane, saved by Kahkonen
  20. P1 18:01Shot by Maatta, saved by Kahkonen
  21. P1 19:03Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Kahkonen
  25. P2 0:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Kahkonen
  26. P2 1:07Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Kahkonen
  27. P2 2:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Kahkonen
  28. P2 2:59Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lyon
  29. P2 3:25Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  30. P2 4:09Shot by Addison, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 4:12Addison: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hertl, Burroughs, Duclair, Addison, Eklund · DET Chiarot, Gostisbehere, Fabbri, Fischer, Raymond

  32. P2 4:12Raymond: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hertl, Burroughs, Duclair, Addison, Eklund · DET Chiarot, Gostisbehere, Fabbri, Fischer, Raymond

  33. P2 5:26Shot by Hertl, saved by Lyon4v4
  34. P2 6:07Goal by Compher (Holl, Maatta)4v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Bailey, Rutta, Thrun, Eklund · DET Holl, Maatta, Compher, Veleno

  35. P2 6:34Shot by Copp, saved by Kahkonen
  36. P2 6:36Shot by Veleno, saved by Kahkonen
  37. P2 7:11Emberson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Carpenter, Ferraro, Zadina, Emberson, Barabanov · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider

  38. P2 9:31Shot by Maatta, saved by Kahkonen
  39. P2 10:07Shot by Holl, saved by Kahkonen
  40. P2 10:17Shot by Seider, saved by Kahkonen
  41. P2 12:32Shot by Sprong, saved by Kahkonen
  42. P2 14:59Shot by Sprong, saved by Kahkonen
  43. P2 15:05Shot by Chiarot, saved by Kahkonen
  44. P2 16:23Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  45. P2 16:38Shot by Granlund, saved by Lyon
  46. P2 17:38Shot by Rutta, saved by Lyon
  47. P2 18:54Goal by Bailey (Ferraro)+24 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Bailey, Carpenter, Ferraro, Zadina, Emberson · DET Chiarot, Gostisbehere, Copp, Rasmussen, Veleno

  48. P2 19:36Shot by Walman, saved by Kahkonen
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:56Holl: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hertl, Burroughs, Kunin, Addison, Barabanov · DET Holl, Maatta, Copp, Rasmussen, Veleno

  52. P3 3:16Shot by Eklund, saved by Lyon5v4
  53. P3 5:15Shot by Thrun, saved by Lyon
  54. P3 5:39Shot by Kane, saved by Kahkonen
  55. P3 6:05Shot by Holl, saved by Kahkonen
  56. P3 6:36Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lyon
  57. P3 7:00Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 8:05Shot by Zadina, saved by Lyon
  59. P3 8:06Shot by Zadina, saved by Lyon
  60. P3 8:24Shot by Kane, saved by Kahkonen
  61. P3 9:24Goal by Barabanov (Ferraro, Emberson)+30 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Kunin, Ferraro, Studnicka, Emberson, Barabanov · DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Copp, Rasmussen, Veleno

  62. P3 9:44Shot by Larkin, saved by Kahkonen
  63. P3 9:53Rutta: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hoffman, Granlund, Rutta, Zetterlund, Thrun · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond

  64. P3 10:55Goal by Perron (Sprong, Raymond)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hertl, Burroughs, Zetterlund, Thrun · DET Perron, Gostisbehere, Compher, Sprong, Raymond

  65. P3 11:18Larkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burroughs, Kunin, Studnicka, Addison, Barabanov · DET Perron, Holl, Gostisbehere, Larkin, Raymond

  66. P3 12:59Shot by Chiarot, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  67. P3 15:41Eklund: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Hertl, Duclair, Ferraro, Emberson, Eklund · DET Kane, Compher, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider

  68. P3 16:28Shot by Sprong, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  69. P3 17:28Shot by Ferraro, saved by Lyon4v5
  70. P3 18:30Goal by Perron (Raymond)+48 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hoffman, Hertl, Burroughs, Ferraro, Eklund · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond

  71. P3 19:54Goal by Rasmussen, unassisted6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hoffman, Granlund, Hertl, Duclair, Zetterlund, Eklund · DET Perron, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final