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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 3, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington

New Jersey Devils 6, Washington Capitals 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.

WSH winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Haula–Hischier–MercerToffoli–Bratt–HughesLazar–McLeod–HoltzHaula–Hughes–MercerSiegenthaler–NemecMiller–BahlMarino–HughesMiller–HughesMarino–Bahl
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson5:290.21–0.254:360.06–0.270:370.00–0.004:540.12–0.022:420.01–0.132:370.13–0.141:020.00–0.23
Mantha–McMichael–Protas3:000.11–0.220:440.05–0.003:490.12–0.212:020.00–0.122:560.12–0.221:310.11–0.001:020.05–0.10
Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn8:260.26–0.153:160.00–0.061:540.00–0.013:260.19–0.12
Pacioretty–Strome–Phillips4:120.10–0.170:300.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:140.00–0.002:260.11–0.171:560.00–0.000:490.00–0.35
Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn–Phillips0:430.00–0.010:360.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Dowd–Strome0:320.00–0.050:390.00–0.05
Pacioretty–Mantha–Strome1:020.00–0.300:460.00–0.30
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Mantha0:550.00–0.180:380.00–0.03
Bear–Sandin4:470.01–0.503:260.18–0.232:560.06–0.002:000.12–0.221:520.00–0.140:560.00–0.381:450.05–0.35
Jensen–van Riemsdyk5:380.31–0.141:180.00–0.004:300.00–0.170:320.00–0.003:530.00–0.054:560.11–0.162:470.21–0.000:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.10
Carlson–Fehérváry2:510.02–0.178:060.01–0.201:500.00–0.034:360.00–0.132:580.00–0.184:550.02–0.120:420.00–0.00
Jensen–Fehérváry0:500.00–0.300:300.00–0.081:070.00–0.38
Carlson–van Riemsdyk0:510.00–0.010:360.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry0:370.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Carlson–Jensen1:030.01–0.040:330.00–0.00
Carlson–Sandin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndProtas FMcMichael FMantha FDowd FAube-Kubel FMalenstyn FOvechkin FWilson FKuznetsov FPhillips FStrome FPacioretty FJensen Dvan Riemsdyk DFehérváry DCarlson DBear DSandin DShepard GHischier FHaula FMercer FHughes FBratt FToffoli FHoltz FMcLeod FLazar FBastian FTierney FMarino DHughes DMiller DBahl DNemec DSiegenthaler DSmith DDaws G
WSHNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2523:420:571:3836
John MarinoNJD2921:510:452:0438
Alex OvechkinWSH2221:150:581:4860
Erik HaulaNJD3120:420:401:18110
Nico HischierNJD3120:350:401:1128
Dawson MercerNJD3020:290:411:1628
Simon NemecNJD2520:230:491:2723
Martin FehérváryWSH2320:210:531:4316
Luke HughesNJD2620:120:472:0644
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD2620:090:471:4914
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2319:350:511:4872
Nick JensenWSH2418:520:472:0313
Tom WilsonWSH2218:450:511:3272
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2618:450:431:1822
Rasmus SandinWSH2418:150:461:2531
Jack HughesNJD2218:070:491:5161
Jesper BrattNJD2517:320:421:1472
Kevin BahlNJD2516:210:390:5933
Tyler ToffoliNJD2315:480:411:0150
Anthony ManthaWSH2215:430:431:3542
Ethan BearWSH2215:420:431:2431
Colin MillerNJD2214:520:410:5731
Beck MalenstynWSH2114:410:421:0517
Dylan StromeWSH2014:250:431:2451
Nic DowdWSH2014:180:430:5816
Alexander HoltzNJD2013:550:421:1521
Curtis LazarNJD2113:510:401:1222
Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH1813:370:451:0815
Michael McLeodNJD2213:360:371:1833
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2013:060:391:1153
Connor McMichaelWSH2012:490:381:3443
Matthew PhillipsWSH1611:510:442:1121
Max PaciorettyWSH1711:470:421:1922
Brendan SmithNJD1511:400:471:4623
Chris TierneyNJD187:520:260:4723
Nathan BastianNJD137:230:340:5021