Wed, Jan 3, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Anaheim Ducks 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.
86%
ANA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 26:17 | 0.06 | 38.9% | +88.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 25:15 | 0.59 | 64.8% | +55.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 13 | 25:11 | 1.94 | 65.0% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 23:53 | 0.67 | 46.8% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.12 | 92.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:44 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19:40 | 1.07 | 37.4% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.12 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.58 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.17 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.02 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.10 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.09 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.02 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:36 | 0.34 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:08 | 0.09 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:36 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.63 | +1.6 | 61:30 |
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:40 | 0.08 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.16 | 63.2% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.01 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.15 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.15 | 72.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:50 | 0.41 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:46 | 0.59 | 66.0% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.46 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:29 | 0.43 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.01 | 2.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.17 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 2.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 2.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:12 | 0.00 | 17.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 57 | 55 | 2 | .965 | 5.99 | +4.0 | 62:12 |