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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 6, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Florida Panthers 8, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

Florida Panthers

8

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 73% of the time.

COL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Prosvetov
  3. P1 1:10Goal by Verhaeghe (Tkachuk, Bennett)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Mikkola, Tkachuk

  4. P1 3:02Goal by Reinhart (Forsling, Barkov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  5. P1 3:30Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 6:52Shot by Jones, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 7:28Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 7:41Goal by Reinhart (Barkov, Rodrigues)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  9. P1 10:15Shot by Barkov, saved by Prosvetov
  10. P1 10:50Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  11. P1 10:57Shot by Manson, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 11:02Shot by Montour, saved by Prosvetov
  13. P1 11:48Barkov: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Johansen, Jones, Kiviranta, Meyers · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Barkov, Reinhart, Lockwood

  14. P1 13:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Prosvetov5v4
  15. P1 14:08Shot by Makar, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  16. P1 14:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  17. P1 14:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  18. P1 16:38Shot by Lomberg, saved by Prosvetov
  19. P1 16:59Olofsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Manson, Drouin, Olofsson, Meyers · FLA Montour, Mikkola, Lomberg, Luostarinen, Lundell

  20. P1 17:52Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Prosvetov4v5
  21. P1 19:17Shot by Lundell, saved by Prosvetov
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:21Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  25. P2 0:52Goal by Manson (Nichushkin, O'Connor)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Mikkola, Tkachuk

  26. P2 2:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 2:23Shot by Cogliano, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P2 2:31Shot by Makar, saved by Bobrovsky
  29. P2 3:17Shot by O'Connor, saved by Bobrovsky
  30. P2 3:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky
  31. P2 3:57Shot by Manson, saved by Bobrovsky
  32. P2 4:00Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Tkachuk

  33. P2 4:00Girard: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Tkachuk

  34. P2 4:00Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Tkachuk

  35. P2 4:35Goal by Nichushkin (Makar, Rantanen)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling

  36. P2 6:03Shot by Toews, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 6:20Shot by Barkov, saved by Prosvetov
  38. P2 7:06Shot by Bennett, saved by Prosvetov
  39. P2 8:50Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Barkov, Rodrigues)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johansen, Manson, Girard, Kiviranta, Meyers · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Barkov, Reinhart, Rodrigues

  40. P2 10:24Shot by Lomberg, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 12:21Shot by Makar, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P2 13:14Shot by Lundell, saved by Georgiev
  43. P2 14:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 15:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 16:49Shot by Forsling, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 16:56Lomberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Johansen, Nichushkin, Makar, O'Connor · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, Lomberg, Luostarinen

  47. P2 17:26Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  48. P2 17:40Shot by Rantanen, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 3:19Shot by Montour, saved by Georgiev
  52. P3 3:31Goal by Drouin (Girard)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Girard, Makar · FLA Verhaeghe, Montour, Mikkola, Tkachuk, Lundell

  53. P3 4:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P3 4:47Colton: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Nichushkin, Jones, Colton, O'Connor · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Barkov, Reinhart, Rodrigues

  55. P3 4:54Shot by Barkov, saved by Georgiev4v5
  56. P3 5:13O'Connor: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Nichushkin, Toews, Makar, O'Connor · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk

  57. P3 5:38Shot by Barkov, saved by Georgiev3v5
  58. P3 5:59Goal by Reinhart (Tkachuk, Barkov)3v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Toews, Makar · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk

  59. P3 7:43Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  60. P3 8:29Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Georgiev4v5
  61. P3 8:31Shot by Ekblad, saved by Georgiev4v5
  62. P3 8:59Goal by Stenlund (Lomberg)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Girard · FLA Forsling, Stenlund, Mikkola, Lomberg, Lockwood

  63. P3 9:46Shot by Stenlund, saved by Georgiev
  64. P3 13:24Shot by Meyers, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 14:04Shot by Ekblad, saved by Georgiev
  66. P3 16:17Goal by Tkachuk (Verhaeghe, Ekblad)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Lundell

  67. P3 16:54Goal by Verhaeghe (Tkachuk, Forsling)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johansen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Lundell

  68. P3 17:56MacDermid: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Johnson, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Jones, Kiviranta · FLA Kulikov, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Lomberg, Luostarinen, Lundell

  69. P3 18:13Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Georgiev4v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final