Tue, Jan 16, 2024·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 69% of the time.
61%
25%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:33 | 0.24 | 44.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:05 | 0.04 | 40.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.20 | 41.5% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:30 | 0.13 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.06 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.37 | 38.1% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 18:38 | 0.53 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:29 | 0.56 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.09 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.16 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.22 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:15 | 0.36 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:15 | 0.05 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.90 | +0.9 | 58:17 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:58 | 0.01 | 56.2% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.02 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.34 | 41.7% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:34 | 0.51 | 58.1% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:02 | 0.06 | 42.6% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.28 | 37.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:16 | 0.26 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:09 | 0.74 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 18:58 | 0.61 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.19 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.09 | 64.8% | +65.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.34 | 50.4% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:07 | 0.37 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 59.6% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:14 | 0.07 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.33 | 80.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.08 | +1.1 | 59:42 |