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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 16, 2024·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 69% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marner–Matthews–HolmbergGregor–Kampf–McMannTavares–Nylander–KniesJarnkrok–Bertuzzi–DomiTavares–Jarnkrok–NylanderBertuzzi–Domi–KniesTavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderJarnkrok–Marner–MatthewsJarnkrok–Gregor–KampfBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitGiordano–LiljegrenMcCabe–LiljegrenRielly–BenoitGiordano–Benoit
Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid6:430.68–0.512:100.02–0.001:160.08–0.000:510.04–0.001:010.00–0.020:430.00–0.000:310.05–0.008:240.42–0.213:080.15–0.301:290.30–0.020:400.06–0.00
Kane–Draisaitl–Foegele6:150.26–0.331:190.01–0.352:050.04–0.153:220.39–0.586:130.11–0.151:010.09–0.001:290.00–0.17
Janmark–Ryan–McLeod1:060.00–0.001:140.00–0.001:210.00–0.160:440.04–0.000:390.23–0.001:100.23–0.161:410.08–0.002:150.00–0.000:380.04–0.00
Brown–Erne–Hamblin0:550.07–0.001:570.05–0.031:030.49–0.001:360.07–0.030:370.05–0.002:080.49–0.00
Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid0:590.00–0.170:590.00–0.17
Brown–Erne–Ryan0:350.00–0.010:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.010:320.00–0.00
Kane–Foegele–McLeod0:410.00–0.060:320.00–0.06
Ceci–Nurse7:560.77–0.371:350.05–0.032:460.04–0.150:440.00–0.040:340.00–0.051:020.00–0.210:510.00–0.175:150.62–0.607:170.25–0.192:470.39–0.041:310.00–0.161:170.21–0.000:330.00–0.09
Ekholm–Bouchard4:240.22–0.393:440.03–0.351:060.08–0.061:130.00–0.001:230.00–0.020:470.00–0.000:430.00–0.131:060.05–0.009:080.39–0.265:070.08–0.481:240.03–0.020:370.00–0.00
Kulak–Desharnais2:210.07–0.081:150.00–0.001:530.00–0.192:230.49–0.161:390.04–0.030:510.00–0.002:470.07–0.351:410.00–0.084:070.72–0.031:330.00–0.000:420.04–0.00
Ceci–Bouchard0:500.10–0.000:590.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHyman FNugent-Hopkins FMcDavid FDraisaitl FFoegele FKane FRyan FJanmark FMcLeod FErne FBrown FHamblin FBouchard DEkholm DCeci DNurse DKulak DDesharnais DSkinner GMarner FHolmberg FMatthews FKnies FNylander FTavares FDomi FJarnkrok FBertuzzi FGregor FKampf FMcMann FRielly DBrodie DBenoit DMcCabe DGiordano DLiljegren DJones G
EDMTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR3025:330:512:0623
Mitch MarnerTOR2625:050:581:3846
Cody CeciEDM2323:581:031:5623
Darnell NurseEDM2423:230:581:5922
Auston MatthewsTOR2523:030:551:3145
Evan BouchardEDM2122:471:052:2222
Connor McDavidEDM2122:341:042:2032
Jake McCabeTOR3022:300:451:4234
Mattias EkholmEDM2322:020:571:2023
Leon DraisaitlEDM2321:110:551:2372
TJ BrodieTOR2620:420:482:2114
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM1920:161:042:2122
Zach HymanEDM1920:091:042:1821
Simon BenoitTOR2619:480:462:1004
Evander KaneEDM1918:581:001:3160
Pontus HolmbergTOR2118:410:531:3013
William NylanderTOR2318:380:492:2814
John TavaresTOR2018:290:552:1113
Warren FoegeleEDM1916:320:521:3750
Calle JarnkrokTOR2115:150:441:3931
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2615:110:351:1973
Vincent DesharnaisEDM1714:170:501:1824
Mark GiordanoTOR2012:470:381:1923
Ryan McLeodEDM1712:380:451:1231
Brett KulakEDM1512:380:511:0733
Tyler BertuzziTOR1712:100:431:0132
Derek RyanEDM1711:270:401:0735
David KampfTOR1311:210:522:2512
Max DomiTOR1811:190:381:0130
Connor BrownEDM1411:070:481:2301
Noah GregorTOR1310:150:471:4911
Mattias JanmarkEDM1510:100:410:5932
Matthew KniesTOR149:410:421:3612
Bobby McMannTOR119:150:501:1611
Adam ErneEDM87:140:541:0802
James HamblinEDM106:570:421:0501