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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 18, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Dallas Stars 1, Philadelphia Flyers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.

PHI winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Seguin, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 1:59Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Cates, saved by Oettinger
  5. P1 4:23Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 5:22Shot by Drysdale, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 6:23Shot by Poehling, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 7:43Shot by Laughton, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 9:51Shot by Couturier, saved by Oettinger
  10. P1 14:47Shot by Cates, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 14:48Shot by Cates, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 15:19Shot by Tippett, saved by Oettinger
  13. P1 17:34Shot by Zamula, saved by Oettinger
  14. P1 18:40Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 19:00Goal by Walker (Frost, Farabee)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Frost, Walker, Farabee, York, Foerster · DAL Hanley, Hintz, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  16. P1 19:17Shot by Cates, saved by Oettinger
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:30Shot by Laughton, saved by Oettinger
  20. P2 0:46Foerster: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Drysdale, Foerster · DAL Pavelski, Hanley, Steel, Robertson, Harley

  21. P2 2:58Shot by Konecny, saved by Oettinger
  22. P2 3:03Goal by Tippett (Couturier)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Konecny, Tippett, Zamula · DAL Dadonov, Smith, Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell

  23. P2 3:13Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger
  24. P2 3:24Shot by Farabee, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 3:27Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Oettinger
  26. P2 5:04Shot by York, saved by Oettinger
  27. P2 5:34Robertson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Seeler, Ristolainen, Frost, Farabee · DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Johnston

  28. P2 6:12Shot by Lindell, saved by Ersson5v4
  29. P2 6:13Shot by Lindell, saved by Ersson5v4
  30. P2 6:22Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger5v4
  31. P2 6:38Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger5v4
  32. P2 7:13Shot by Sanheim, saved by Oettinger5v4
  33. P2 8:29Shot by Tippett, saved by Oettinger
  34. P2 8:53Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 8:57Shot by Seeler, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 10:06Steel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Hathaway, Sanheim, Zamula, Foerster · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Benn, Steel, Lundkvist

  37. P2 12:01Shot by Drysdale, saved by Oettinger5v4
  38. P2 12:42Goal by Seguin (Duchene)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Hathaway, Cates, Walker, York · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Lundkvist, Harley

  39. P2 14:17Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Ersson
  40. P2 14:37Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Ersson
  41. P2 16:08Shot by Seguin, saved by Ersson
  42. P2 17:04Shot by Lindell, saved by Ersson
  43. P2 17:40Shot by Walker, saved by Oettinger
  44. P2 18:59Shot by Hintz, saved by Ersson
  45. P2 19:06Harley: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Poehling, Cates, Walker, York, Foerster · DAL Hintz, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley, Johnston

  46. P2 19:39Shot by Frost, saved by Oettinger5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:42Shot by Sanheim, saved by Oettinger5v4
  50. P3 0:44Goal by Atkinson (Frost, Sanheim)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Sanheim, Frost, Drysdale, Foerster · DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Steel

  51. P3 1:03Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  52. P3 1:34Shot by Hintz, saved by Ersson
  53. P3 2:26Shot by Cates, saved by Oettinger
  54. P3 2:32Shot by Sanheim, saved by Oettinger
  55. P3 3:05Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger
  56. P3 4:38Shot by Johnston, saved by Ersson
  57. P3 4:40Foerster: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, Hathaway, Walker, Foerster · DAL Hanley, Hintz, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  58. P3 5:42Shot by Benn, saved by Ersson4v5
  59. P3 6:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Ersson4v5
  60. P3 7:02Suter: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Konecny, Tippett, Zamula · DAL Suter, Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Johnston

  61. P3 7:16Shot by Drysdale, saved by Oettinger5v4
  62. P3 7:46Shot by Atkinson, saved by Oettinger5v4
  63. P3 8:32Shot by Konecny, saved by Oettinger5v4
  64. P3 8:56Shot by Couturier, saved by Oettinger5v4
  65. P3 9:16Hanley: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Hathaway, Cates, Walker, York · DAL Hanley, Steel, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  66. P3 9:16Goal by Laughton, unassistedother+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Hathaway, Cates, Walker, York · DAL Hanley, Steel, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  67. P3 10:34Shot by Tippett, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 14:18Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ersson
  69. P3 14:30Goal by Tippett, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Tippett, Frost, Cates, Walker · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hanley, Steel, Harley

  70. P3 18:26Shot by Zamula, saved by Oettinger
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final