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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 20, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 88% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Benson, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 6:14Goal by Paul (Hagel, Cirelli)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Cozens, Johnson, Peterka, Power · TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  4. P1 6:28Shot by Thompson, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 6:31Raddysh: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  6. P1 6:49Shot by Benson, saved by Johansson5v4
  7. P1 7:06Goal by Motte, unassisted5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Benson · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Motte, Perbix

  8. P1 7:57Shot by Quinn, saved by Johansson5v4
  9. P1 12:18Shot by Paul, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 13:19Shot by Point, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 13:56Shot by Crozier, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 15:03Shot by Peterka, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 19:20Shot by Quinn, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 1:23Shot by Hagel, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P2 1:37Shot by Hedman, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P2 3:31Shot by Olofsson, saved by Johansson
  19. P2 3:50Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson
  20. P2 6:21Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson
  21. P2 6:44Shot by Cirelli, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P2 7:10Shot by Cirelli, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P2 7:28Johnson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Johnson, Quinn · TBL de Haan, Kucherov, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier

  24. P2 9:01Shot by Sheary, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  25. P2 10:07Shot by Perbix, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 12:30Shot by Olofsson, saved by Johansson
  27. P2 13:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson
  28. P2 13:52Goal by Cozens (Peterka, Dahlin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Crozier, Lilleberg

  29. P2 16:18Tuch: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Crozier, Lilleberg

  30. P2 16:44Shot by Point, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  31. P2 18:11Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  32. P2 18:25Shot by Hagel, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 0:00Period end
  34. P3 0:00Period start
  35. P3 0:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Johansson
  36. P3 1:09Shot by Power, saved by Johansson
  37. P3 3:46Shot by Okposo, saved by Johansson
  38. P3 4:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Johansson
  39. P3 5:00Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Johansson
  40. P3 6:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson
  41. P3 7:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P3 11:29Shot by Cozens, saved by Johansson
  43. P3 11:56Eyssimont: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Dahlin, Cozens, Johnson, Quinn, Peterka · TBL de Haan, Motte, Sheary, Eyssimont, Perbix

  44. P3 12:37Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Johansson5v4
  45. P3 12:40Benson: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Benson · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Motte, Perbix

  46. P3 13:38Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson4v4
  47. P3 13:42Shot by Peterka, saved by Johansson4v4
  48. P3 15:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson
  49. P3 15:52Shot by Okposo, saved by Johansson
  50. P3 18:44Goal by de Haan (Hagel, Paul)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power, Benson · TBL de Haan, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  51. P3 18:55Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Johansson
  52. P3 18:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Johansson6v5
  53. P3 19:55Shot by Power, saved by Johansson6v5
  54. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  55. P3 0:00Final6v5