Sat, Jan 20, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 88% of the time.
84%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:31 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:09 | 0.22 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.66 | 85.6% | +20.3 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.30 | 80.9% | +15.3 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.41 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.08 | 51.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:04 | 0.01 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Calvin de HaanD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.57 | 64.8% | +4.9 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.32 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:29 | 1.11 | 75.7% | +20.3 |
 Tyler MotteC · #64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.15 | 43.3% | +14.6 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.03 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.16 | 9.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.14 | 9.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 3.1% | 0.0 |
 Waltteri MerelaC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 4.6% | 0.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:36 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.61 | +0.6 | 59:57 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28:17 | 0.18 | 49.0% | +16.3 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:54 | 0.15 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.03 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.12 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.19 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.14 | 65.7% | +16.3 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.05 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.03 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.07 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.21 | 66.1% | +16.3 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.19 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan JohnsonD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.02 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.07 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.07 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:56 | 0.09 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 15 | 13 | 2 | .867 | 2.35 | +0.3 | 58:53 |