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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 21, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 69% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Glendening, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 2:05Shot by Sprong, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 4:07Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon
  7. P1 6:04Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:17Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 8:45Goal by Hedman (Kucherov, Point)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Fabbri, Walman, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  10. P1 9:07Shot by Petry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:03Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:14Shot by Sprong, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 12:45Shot by Fabbri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 13:35Shot by Sprong, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 14:37Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 16:20Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 18:06Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 18:29Goal by Raymond (Larkin, Perron)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:26Shot by Walman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P2 1:24Shot by de Haan, saved by Lyon
  23. P2 1:59Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 2:07Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 2:15Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 3:31Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 4:12Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon
  28. P2 4:49Shot by Perbix, saved by Lyon
  29. P2 5:34Shot by Maatta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 7:38Shot by Hagel, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 8:58Goal by Sprong (Compher)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Maatta, Compher, Sprong, DeBrincat · TBL Stamkos, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  32. P2 10:42Watson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Fabbri, Kostin, Veleno · TBL Kucherov, Paul, Point, Crozier, Lilleberg

  33. P2 10:45Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  34. P2 11:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  35. P2 11:38Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  36. P2 11:50Shot by Sprong, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 12:32Glendening: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Fabbri, Sprong, DeBrincat, Veleno, Seider · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Motte, Perbix

  38. P2 12:40Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  39. P2 13:19Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  40. P2 13:31Shot by Sprong, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  41. P2 13:32Shot by Veleno, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 14:15Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  43. P2 14:42Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 14:49Shot by Walman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 15:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon
  46. P2 18:06Shot by Veleno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:14Shot by Perbix, saved by Lyon
  50. P3 1:15Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Lyon
  51. P3 1:16Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Lyon
  52. P3 2:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon
  53. P3 3:05Shot by Motte, saved by Lyon
  54. P3 3:15Sprong: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Sprong, Kostin, Veleno · TBL Hedman, Watson, Glendening, Motte, Raddysh

  55. P3 3:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon4v5
  56. P3 4:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon4v5
  57. P3 4:26Shot by Paul, saved by Lyon4v5
  58. P3 4:29Shot by Paul, saved by Lyon4v5
  59. P3 4:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon4v5
  60. P3 4:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon4v5
  61. P3 4:56Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon4v5
  62. P3 5:33Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 7:28Shot by Walman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 8:23Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Lyon
  65. P3 10:16Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 10:25Shot by Point, saved by Lyon
  67. P3 11:47Walman: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Compher, Fabbri, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  68. P3 13:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon4v5
  69. P3 13:42Shot by Point, saved by Lyon4v5
  70. P3 13:52Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 16:26Shot by Petry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 19:48Petry: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Petry, Maatta, Larkin, Rasmussen, Raymond · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Hagel

  73. P3 19:53Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon4v6
  74. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  75. P3 0:00Final4v6