Sun, Jan 21, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 69% of the time.
60%
9%
24%
DET winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | Motte–Sheary–Eyssimont | Watson–Glendening–Merela | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Sheary–Cirelli–Eyssimont | Kucherov–Paul–Point | Stamkos–Kucherov–Paul | Stamkos–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Hedman–Raddysh | de Haan–Perbix | Crozier–Lilleberg | de Haan–Raddysh | Hedman–Perbix | Perbix–Lilleberg | Hedman–Crozier | Raddysh–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perron–Larkin–Raymond | 4:330.34–0.12 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 5:290.17–0.17 | 1:550.00–0.02 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:190.17–0.00 | ||||
| Copp–Fischer–Rasmussen | 1:560.00–0.00 | 2:590.49–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 1:310.10–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 2:020.01–0.00 | 2:170.11–0.00 | 2:370.27–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:420.25–0.00 | ||||||
| Compher–Fabbri–DeBrincat | 1:010.03–0.00 | 1:380.06–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:160.05–0.02 | 0:520.20–0.09 | 1:040.00–0.17 | 2:020.23–0.00 | 4:090.11–0.28 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Sprong–Kostin–Veleno | 1:250.09–0.00 | 1:050.04–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.10 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:210.13–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Compher–Sprong–DeBrincat | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.05 | 0:310.17–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:450.06–0.00 | 0:310.17–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Fabbri–Kostin–Veleno | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Walman–Seider | 6:400.34–0.22 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 3:480.21–0.34 | 1:350.00–0.08 | 0:590.00–0.09 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 8:470.39–0.27 | 1:460.00–0.32 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.02 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:500.17–0.05 | |||||
| Petry–Maatta | 4:240.28–0.00 | 1:470.17–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 2:300.10–0.17 | 0:340.17–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 7:520.39–0.20 | 0:540.10–0.00 | 2:110.06–0.05 | 0:450.07–0.00 | 1:320.17–0.00 | ||||||
| Holl–Gostisbehere | 0:560.09–0.00 | 3:360.37–0.00 | 3:160.09–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 1:140.00–0.10 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 6:000.35–0.06 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:200.25–0.00 | ||||||||
| Petry–Gostisbehere | 0:430.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 26:58 | 1:07 | 2:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 25:52 | 1:11 | 4:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Moritz SeiderDET | 25 | 25:08 | 1:00 | 3:01 | 3 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 22:33 | 1:04 | 4:18 | 6 | 0 |
 Jake WalmanDET | 23 | 22:24 | 0:58 | 2:10 | 1 | 6 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 27 | 21:42 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 2 | 5 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 27 | 21:41 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 20:49 | 0:52 | 2:12 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 20:09 | 1:00 | 3:25 | 7 | 1 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 24 | 20:07 | 0:50 | 2:33 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 24 | 19:26 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 3 | 6 |
 Jeff PetryDET | 25 | 19:18 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 24 | 19:17 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Calvin de HaanTBL | 23 | 18:48 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 0 | 4 |
 Olli MaattaDET | 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Shayne GostisbehereDET | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 4 | 1 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 21 | 18:00 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 3 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 24 | 17:11 | 0:43 | 1:51 | 4 | 3 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 22 | 16:33 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 5 | 4 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 19 | 16:29 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 4 | 0 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 5 | 2 |
 David PerronDET | 20 | 16:21 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 3 | 4 |
 Robby FabbriDET | 18 | 15:19 | 0:51 | 2:08 | 3 | 0 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 15 | 13:49 | 0:55 | 2:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 17 | 13:15 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Tyler MotteTBL | 17 | 13:11 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 1 | 4 |
 Justin HollDET | 18 | 13:03 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 16 | 12:43 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Christian FischerDET | 17 | 12:30 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 13 | 11:22 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Daniel SprongDET | 14 | 10:32 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Joseph VelenoDET | 14 | 10:16 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 13 | 8:50 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Klim KostinDET | 10 | 7:16 | 0:44 | 0:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Waltteri MerelaTBL | 8 | 6:32 | 0:49 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Austin WatsonTBL | 9 | 5:33 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |