Sun, Jan 21, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 69% of the time.
60%
9%
24%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26:58 | 0.27 | 27.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:52 | 0.11 | 45.6% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:33 | 0.88 | 40.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.05 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:41 | 0.02 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:49 | 0.21 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:09 | 0.40 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.05 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.03 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.24 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.09 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.15 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.27 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.04 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:32 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:33 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.92 | +1.9 | 55:45 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:08 | 0.01 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.02 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.32 | 61.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.53 | 65.3% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.08 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.06 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.11 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.40 | 42.3% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.66 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.29 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.12 | 94.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.14 | 34.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.15 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.02 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:30 | 0.35 | 86.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 10:32 | 0.49 | 72.9% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.18 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:16 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.78 | +1.8 | 60:00 |