Sat, Jan 27, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Montréal Canadiens 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
30%
PIT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 27:36 | 0.10 | 46.8% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:45 | 0.17 | 51.2% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.01 | 40.8% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:33 | 0.48 | 69.2% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 6.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.35 | 47.1% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.01 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.01 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.37 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.70 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 17:09 | 0.85 | 69.2% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 5.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:44 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:20 | 0.04 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.87 | +0.9 | 62:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 27:05 | 0.18 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:48 | 0.09 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 23:52 | 0.21 | 67.2% | +77.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:59 | 0.24 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:38 | 0.78 | 43.1% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.42 | 43.3% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.23 | 65.2% | +44.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:01 | 0.64 | 81.3% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.20 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.10 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.29 | 75.6% | +64.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.15 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.20 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:27 | 0.08 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 42.7% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.02 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.09 | +1.1 | 62:43 |