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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 27, 2024·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Winnipeg Jets

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:19Shot by Domi, saved by Hellebuyck
  3. P1 3:52Shot by Benoit, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 4:13Goal by Samberg, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Namestnikov, Schmidt, Ehlers, Connor, Samberg · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  5. P1 4:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 5:46Shot by McCabe, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 5:55Shot by Barron, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 6:45Shot by Morrissey, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 9:41Shot by Lowry, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 10:23Shot by Lowry, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 11:42Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  12. P1 14:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 15:29Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 15:54Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 19:11Goal by Reaves (Gregor)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Morrissey, Appleton, Pionk · TOR Reaves, Tavares, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren

  16. P1 19:37Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hellebuyck
  17. P1 19:40Reaves: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Namestnikov, Ehlers, Connor, Samberg · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren

  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:47Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Samsonov
  21. P2 3:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  22. P2 3:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  23. P2 3:32Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P2 3:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P2 5:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  26. P2 5:26Shot by Benoit, saved by Hellebuyck
  27. P2 6:01Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hellebuyck
  28. P2 6:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 7:06Shot by Knies, saved by Hellebuyck
  30. P2 8:46Shot by Connor, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 8:47Shot by Pionk, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 8:48Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 9:43Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hellebuyck
  34. P2 9:57Shot by Vilardi, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 11:10Shot by Kampf, saved by Hellebuyck
  36. P2 11:55Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 12:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  38. P2 13:02Robertson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Schmidt, Vilardi, Samberg, Kupari, Perfetti · TOR McCabe, Domi, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson

  39. P2 14:42Shot by Pionk, saved by Samsonov5v4
  40. P2 15:22Shot by Samberg, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 15:25Liljegren: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, DeMelo, Namestnikov, Samberg, Perfetti · TOR Rielly, Liljegren, Kampf, Robertson, Knies

  42. P2 16:07Shot by Pionk, saved by Samsonov5v4
  43. P2 17:16Shot by Connor, saved by Samsonov5v4
  44. P2 18:57Shot by Domi, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P2 18:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Hellebuyck
  46. P2 19:21Shot by Ehlers, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 19:30Shot by Pionk, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P3 0:54Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hellebuyck
  52. P3 1:19DeMelo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, DeMelo, Lowry, Morrissey, Appleton · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Matthews

  53. P3 1:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  54. P3 1:54Goal by Tavares (Rielly, Marner)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Samberg, Iafallo, Pionk, Barron · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  55. P3 4:58Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  56. P3 7:29Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 7:38Shot by Samberg, saved by Samsonov
  58. P3 8:05Niederreiter: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, DeMelo, Namestnikov, Appleton, Samberg · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews

  59. P3 8:05Brodie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, DeMelo, Namestnikov, Appleton, Samberg · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews

  60. P3 10:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  61. P3 10:52Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 12:25Knies: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Morrissey, Vilardi, Iafallo, Perfetti · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  63. P3 14:06Shot by Perfetti, saved by Samsonov5v4
  64. P3 14:26Shot by Pionk, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 14:39Shot by Morrissey, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 14:39Niederreiter: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Morrissey, Pionk, Perfetti · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  67. P3 15:09Samberg: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Samberg, Iafallo · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  68. P3 15:28Goal by Matthews (Marner, Rielly)3v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Pionk · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  69. P3 18:22Goal by Benoit, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Namestnikov, Morrissey, Ehlers, Vilardi, Samberg, Perfetti · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  70. P3 19:48Goal by Appleton (Iafallo, Morrissey)0 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo, Pionk · TOR Reaves, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf

  71. P3 19:48Appleton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo, Pionk · TOR Reaves, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf

  72. P3 19:48Niederreiter: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo, Pionk · TOR Reaves, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf

  73. P3 19:48Reaves: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo, Pionk · TOR Reaves, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf

  74. P3 19:48McCabe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Morrissey, Appleton, Iafallo, Pionk · TOR Reaves, McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final