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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 27, 2024·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Winnipeg Jets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marner–Matthews–KniesTavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderDomi–Holmberg–RobertsonReaves–Gregor–KampfBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitGiordano–LiljegrenMcCabe–LiljegrenRielly–LiljegrenLiljegren–Benoit
Niederreiter–Lowry–Appleton6:540.26–0.181:370.01–0.370:320.06–0.004:370.16–0.162:530.10–0.060:300.07–0.001:060.00–0.28
Namestnikov–Ehlers–Connor5:420.11–0.470:400.00–0.163:350.63–0.481:090.00–0.062:220.05–0.050:310.00–0.01
Vilardi–Kupari–Perfetti0:300.20–0.003:160.15–0.112:140.00–0.001:570.00–0.011:490.00–0.013:040.16–0.09
Toninato–Iafallo–Barron0:390.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:200.00–0.201:070.02–0.001:090.00–0.061:300.02–0.021:240.00–0.13
Lowry–Appleton–Barron0:350.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Lowry–Connor–Appleton0:300.00–0.000:340.00–0.23
Lowry–Ehlers–Connor0:450.06–0.000:450.06–0.00
DeMelo–Morrissey5:220.17–0.391:320.00–0.261:140.03–0.060:500.02–0.004:010.06–0.233:550.11–0.271:560.10–0.000:310.00–0.22
Schmidt–Samberg0:340.00–0.001:050.03–0.003:060.13–0.031:090.00–0.001:430.03–0.011:180.00–0.012:420.13–0.01
Samberg–Pionk2:270.08–0.221:190.07–0.000:520.06–0.022:240.60–0.280:400.01–0.001:240.06–0.001:000.06–0.00
DeMelo–Samberg2:310.06–0.001:080.00–0.010:520.00–0.102:040.06–0.000:520.00–0.101:080.02–0.05
Morrissey–Pionk0:510.03–0.000:310.01–0.171:160.47–0.001:240.09–0.001:000.01–0.160:500.40–0.05
Schmidt–Pionk1:300.00–0.300:330.00–0.001:090.00–0.200:310.00–0.00
Schmidt–Morrissey0:550.00–0.140:480.00–0.001:340.00–0.060:400.00–0.08
Dillon–Pionk0:500.00–0.020:570.00–0.051:110.00–0.02
DeMelo–Schmidt0:550.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Morrissey–Samberg0:300.20–0.000:480.00–0.010:460.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLowry FAppleton FNiederreiter FEhlers FConnor FNamestnikov FPerfetti FVilardi FKupari FToninato FBarron FIafallo FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DDillon DSamberg DSchmidt DHellebuyck GMarner FKnies FMatthews FBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FDomi FRobertson FHolmberg FReaves FKampf FGregor FRielly DBrodie DBenoit DMcCabe DLiljegren DGiordano DSamsonov G
WPGTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG3427:400:491:3171
Dylan SambergWPG2722:440:511:5306
Dylan DeMeloWPG2522:210:541:5813
Mitch MarnerTOR2722:180:501:5544
Neal PionkWPG2722:010:491:2333
Jake McCabeTOR3121:530:421:1433
TJ BrodieTOR3121:230:411:3956
Morgan RiellyTOR2620:210:471:5662
Kyle ConnorWPG1919:311:021:5742
Adam LowryWPG2019:230:582:4933
William NylanderTOR2219:210:532:3743
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:060:522:2122
Nate SchmidtWPG2719:020:421:2034
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2718:490:421:1941
Simon BenoitTOR3018:430:371:1325
Gabriel VilardiWPG1717:301:022:1021
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1916:580:541:4042
Mark GiordanoTOR2516:240:391:1914
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG2115:550:451:4821
Mason AppletonWPG1715:500:562:4311
Nino NiederreiterWPG1715:190:541:4811
Alex IafalloWPG1915:090:481:4942
Cole PerfettiWPG1614:560:562:2111
David KampfTOR1914:420:461:4904
John TavaresTOR1714:280:511:3052
Tyler BertuzziTOR1813:180:441:2543
Noah GregorTOR1713:050:461:1301
Matthew KniesTOR2013:000:391:3011
Nick RobertsonTOR1711:480:421:0231
Max DomiTOR1511:350:461:2821
Morgan BarronWPG1411:130:481:2211
Pontus HolmbergTOR1610:130:381:1021
Rasmus KupariWPG1310:070:471:0910
Ryan ReavesTOR149:330:411:0801
Dominic ToninatoWPG127:150:361:0111
Brenden DillonWPG41:590:300:4201