Tue, Feb 6, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 2:28Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 2:34Thompson: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Clifton, Thompson, Power · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hakanpää, Lindell, Steel
- P1 3:05Shot by Power, saved by Oettinger4v5
- P1 3:58Goal by Duchene (Seguin, Marchment)4v5+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Greenway, Cozens, Power · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Harley, Johnston
- P1 4:40Shot by Okposo, saved by Oettinger
- P1 4:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Oettinger
- P1 5:32Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger
- P1 6:26Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger
- P1 6:30Shot by Benson, saved by Oettinger
- P1 6:40Shot by Clifton, saved by Oettinger
- P1 7:05Shot by Krebs, saved by Oettinger
- P1 7:09Shot by Robinson, saved by Oettinger
- P1 7:34Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Oettinger
- P1 8:24Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger
- P1 10:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Oettinger
- P1 10:39Shot by Steel, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 10:55Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 14:14Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger
- P1 16:14Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger
- P1 16:44Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger
- P1 17:32Shot by Clifton, saved by Oettinger
- P1 18:48Shot by Seguin, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 19:01Shot by Seguin, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 19:02Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 19:12Shot by Hintz, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger
- P2 1:57Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 4:39Hintz: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Clifton, Greenway, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Power · DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Johnston
- P2 4:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 5:38Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 5:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 5:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 5:53Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Skinner)5v4+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka · DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Steel, Johnston
- P2 6:29Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger
- P2 9:01Shot by Smith, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 9:04Goal by Steel (Faksa, Smith)+21 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Clifton, Thompson, Power · DAL Smith, Faksa, Steel, Heiskanen, Harley
- P2 9:18Shot by Benson, saved by Oettinger
- P2 9:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Oettinger
- P2 9:58Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger
- P2 10:08Shot by Dadonov, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 11:48Heiskanen: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Johnson · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen, Harley
- P2 12:17Shot by Thompson, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 12:38Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 12:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 13:22Shot by Power, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 13:58Steel: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen
- P2 14:29Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P2 17:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Oettinger
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:06Shot by Pavelski, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 0:35Shot by Dadonov, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 0:43Duchene: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Marchment
- P3 0:47Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P3 1:34Shot by Tuch, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P3 1:41Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P3 2:22Shot by Power, saved by Oettinger5v4
- P3 2:47Shot by Power, saved by Oettinger
- P3 3:26Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:06Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:07Shot by Johnston, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 5:33Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger
- P3 5:48Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger
- P3 6:12Shot by Power, saved by Oettinger
- P3 6:18Shot by Benson, saved by Oettinger
- P3 7:07Greenway: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen, Harley
- P3 7:47Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 7:49Luukkonen: Tripping (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Johnson, Tuch, Cozens, Power · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen
- P3 8:01Shot by Pavelski, saved by Luukkonen3v5
- P3 8:10Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Luukkonen3v5
- P3 9:18Shot by Johnston, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 9:44Shot by Marchment, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 9:56Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Oettinger
- P3 11:40Shot by Peterka, saved by Oettinger
- P3 11:55Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger
- P3 11:56Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger
- P3 13:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 14:05Shot by Dadonov, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 15:28Jokiharju: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Peterka, Power · DAL Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston
- P3 15:41Shot by Cozens, saved by Oettinger4v5
- P3 16:21Shot by Duchene, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 16:28Shot by Seguin, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 17:08Shot by Johnston, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 17:11Clifton: Cross checking (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Power, Benson · DAL Dadonov, Duchene, Seguin, Harley, Johnston
- P3 17:32Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 17:34Shot by Duchene, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 17:56Shot by Hintz, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 19:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Oettinger6v5
- P3 19:54Shot by Dahlin, saved by Oettinger6v5
- P3 0:00Period end6v5
- P3 0:00Final6v5