Tue, Feb 6, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.
38%
9%
47%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:08 | 0.11 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:35 | 0.08 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.51 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:06 | 0.48 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.02 | 3.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.66 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:41 | 0.35 | 23.7% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:04 | 0.13 | 17.0% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.02 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.46 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.26 | 11.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.04 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:17 | 0.44 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:08 | 0.13 | 46.2% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.02 | 33.5% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.23 | 36.7% | +20.6 |
| W | 48 | 47 | 1 | .979 | 3.64 | +2.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 29:16 | 0.42 | 40.5% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 25:29 | 0.19 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.46 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:59 | 0.59 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.03 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.15 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.09 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 16:41 | 0.44 | 39.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.13 | 36.0% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:34 | 0.36 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.04 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:56 | 0.34 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.05 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.01 | 92.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.12 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:57 | 0.02 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:35 | 0.19 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.95 | +1.9 | 59:17 |