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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2024·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Arizona Coyotes 4, Nashville Predators 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 76% of the time.

NSH winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  3. P1 2:03Shot by O'Brien, saved by Saros
  4. P1 3:47Shot by Moser, saved by Saros
  5. P1 4:33Shot by Dermott, saved by Saros
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  7. P1 6:57Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  8. P1 7:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Ingram
  9. P1 8:54Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  10. P1 10:49Shot by Zucker, saved by Saros
  11. P1 10:57Shot by Evangelista, saved by Ingram
  12. P1 11:06Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  13. P1 11:08Shot by Zucker, saved by Saros
  14. P1 11:40Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  15. P1 12:28Goal by O'Reilly (Forsberg, Nyquist)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg · ARI Bjugstad, Crouse, Välimäki, Kesselring, Maccelli

  16. P1 12:46Shot by Schenn, saved by Ingram
  17. P1 13:10Goal by Dermott (Zucker, Kerfoot)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Novak, Glass, Tomasino · ARI Zucker, Dumba, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Dermott

  18. P1 13:22Shot by McBain, saved by Saros
  19. P1 13:42Shot by Trenin, saved by Ingram
  20. P1 14:17Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  21. P1 15:14Josi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Sherwood · ARI Durzi, Hayton, Moser, Guenther, Cooley

  22. P1 15:33Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ingram4v5
  23. P1 16:24Shot by Smith, saved by Ingram4v5
  24. P1 17:10Shot by Välimäki, saved by Saros4v5
  25. P1 17:21Dermott: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Barrie, Sissons, Smith · ARI Zucker, Dumba, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Dermott

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:21Shot by Smith, saved by Ingram
  29. P2 1:07Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  30. P2 1:40Shot by O'Brien, saved by Saros
  31. P2 1:59Shot by Kesselring, saved by Saros
  32. P2 3:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Ingram
  33. P2 3:40Shot by Dumba, saved by Saros
  34. P2 3:55Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  35. P2 4:21Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros
  36. P2 4:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  37. P2 4:38Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  38. P2 5:32Durzi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Barrie, McCarron, Sherwood, Smith · ARI Zucker, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Durzi, Kesselring

  39. P2 7:48McBain: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McCarron, Lauzon, Carrier, Sherwood, Evangelista · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, McBain, Kesselring

  40. P2 8:08Forsberg: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Glass · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Kerfoot, Dermott

  41. P2 8:56Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram4v4
  42. P2 9:52Maccelli: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Novak, Lauzon, Carrier, Smith · ARI Dumba, Keller, Välimäki, McBain, Maccelli, Cooley

  43. P2 10:02Shot by Barrie, saved by Ingram4v4
  44. P2 10:42Glass: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Glass · ARI Dumba, Crouse, McBain, Moser

  45. P2 10:46Shot by Moser, saved by Saros4v4
  46. P2 10:57Hayton: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Forsberg, Sissons, Lauzon, Carrier, Evangelista · ARI Zucker, Durzi, Hayton, Moser

  47. P2 11:10Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram4v3
  48. P2 11:39Goal by Josi (Barrie)4v3+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg · ARI Dumba, Kerfoot, Dermott

  49. P2 12:31Shot by Cooley, saved by Saros4v4
  50. P2 15:14Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  51. P2 15:35Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Saros
  52. P2 15:36Shot by Dumba, saved by Saros
  53. P2 16:24Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros
  54. P2 17:32Lauzon: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Carrier, Smith · ARI Dumba, Välimäki, Hayton, Guenther, Cooley

  55. P2 18:31Goal by Guenther (Keller, Zucker)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier · ARI Zucker, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Guenther

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:37Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros
  59. P3 1:40Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros
  60. P3 1:45Goal by Välimäki (Guenther, Hayton)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Schenn, Josi, Nyquist, Novak, Evangelista · ARI Välimäki, Hayton, Kesselring, Maccelli, Guenther

  61. P3 2:00Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram
  62. P3 3:57Shot by Dermott, saved by Saros
  63. P3 4:00Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Schenn, Sissons, Trenin, Smith · ARI Zucker, Dumba, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Dermott

  64. P3 4:07Goal by Schmaltz (Zucker, Keller)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, Lauzon, Trenin · ARI Zucker, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Guenther

  65. P3 4:19Bjugstad: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Glass · ARI Bjugstad, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Guenther

  66. P3 4:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram5v4
  67. P3 4:28Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram5v4
  68. P3 4:29Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram5v4
  69. P3 5:40Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram5v4
  70. P3 6:00Goal by Novak (McDonagh, Evangelista)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Nyquist, Sissons, Novak, Evangelista · ARI Dermott, Durzi, McBain, Guenther

  71. P3 6:29Shot by Trenin, saved by Ingram
  72. P3 7:23Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ingram
  73. P3 7:39Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  74. P3 9:27Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ingram
  75. P3 9:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  76. P3 9:57Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  77. P3 9:59Goal by Forsberg (O'Reilly, Josi)+32 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg · ARI Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Hayton, Moser

  78. P3 11:48Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram
  79. P3 13:43Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  80. P3 17:08Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  81. P3 18:32Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  82. P3 19:54Shot by Moser, saved by Saros
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. OT 0:00Period start
  85. OT 1:12Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros3v3
  86. OT 1:36Goal by McDonagh (Novak, Nyquist)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Forsberg, Novak · ARI Zucker, Durzi, Maccelli

  87. OT 1:36Period end3v3
  88. OT 1:36Final4v4