Tue, Feb 13, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Colorado Avalanche 6, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 65% of the time.
27%
8%
58%
WSH winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 26:22 | 0.53 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:20 | 0.53 | 46.5% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24:05 | 0.26 | 51.0% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:08 | 0.17 | 44.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.20 | 39.2% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 18:00 | 1.27 | 77.9% | +53.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.07 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 0.07 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:36 | 0.60 | 73.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.26 | 78.6% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.03 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 4.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.00 | 14.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 22.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:49 | 0.00 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.06 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 28:11 | 0.10 | 56.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:45 | 0.14 | 45.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.14 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.41 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.22 | 51.3% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.43 | 59.9% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.21 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.01 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.06 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.19 | 52.4% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.09 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.01 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.00 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:19 | 0.11 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.06 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 9:28 | 0.86 | 73.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.02 | 55.5% | +31.4 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 2.46 | −1.5 | 58:03 |