Tue, Feb 13, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 112 | 213 | 113 | 438 |
| CHI | 02 | 112 | 110 | 224 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:05VANConor GarlandAssists: Dakota Joshua, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 8:18VANConor GarlandAssists: Filip Hronek, Dakota Joshua · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–0
- P2 16:43CHITyler JohnsonPPAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 18:28VANNils HoglanderGWGAssists: Elias Lindholm · Wrist, 0.27 xG3–1
- P3 6:07VANDakota JoshuaAssists: Teddy Blueger, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.16 xG4–1
- P3 13:27CHIKevin KorchinskiAssists: Ryan Donato, Lukas Reichel · Snap, 0.16 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:02CHIJoey Anderson: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:45VANSam Lafferty: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 19:00VANIan Cole: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:37CHIColin Blackwell: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:35CHINick Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:13VANJ.T. Miller: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:59VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:49CHIJason Dickinson: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:08VANDakota Joshua: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:08CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Entwistle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBlueger – Joshua – Garland6:49
xG 1.05–0.34 (75%)attempts 12–5goals 3–1
- Lindholm – Pettersson – Hoglander8:19
xG 0.77–0.19 (81%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Miller – Boeser – Suter10:44
xG 0.57–0.20 (74%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Di Giuseppe – Lafferty – Mikheyev7:01
xG 0.32–0.48 (40%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Myers13:53
xG 0.65–0.09 (87%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
- Friedman – Juulsen9:31
xG 0.84–0.33 (72%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Hronek – Hughes13:29
xG 1.19–0.83 (59%)attempts 15–11goals 3–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSanford – Donato – Reichel4:32
xG 0.27–0.11 (71%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Foligno – Dickinson – Anderson6:31
xG 0.28–0.20 (59%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Blackwell – Entwistle – Johnson3:49
xG 0.42–0.44 (49%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Foligno – Johnson – Kurashev2:47
xG 0.00–0.25 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMegna – Phillips4:05
xG 0.47–0.36 (56%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Phillips – Korchinski2:09
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Megna – Crevier2:09
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).