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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 19, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, St. Louis Blues 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:07Shot by Rosen, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 4:08Shot by Kyrou, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 4:20Shot by Domi, saved by Hofer
  5. P1 6:53Shot by Knies, saved by Hofer
  6. P1 8:34Shot by Krug, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 10:25Shot by Hayes, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 11:26Shot by Leddy, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 11:45Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hofer
  10. P1 15:54Shot by Kapanen, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 16:18Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hofer
  12. P1 16:37Shot by Knies, saved by Hofer
  13. P1 19:31Shot by Domi, saved by Hofer
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:22Goal by Knies (Matthews, Marner)+18 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Leddy, Parayko, Kapanen, Neighbours · TOR Brodie, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies

  17. P2 2:40Shot by Robertson, saved by Hofer
  18. P2 3:21Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hofer
  19. P2 4:04Shot by Kampf, saved by Hofer
  20. P2 4:10Shot by Hayes, saved by Samsonov
  21. P2 4:23Shot by Parayko, saved by Samsonov
  22. P2 6:30Shot by Brodie, saved by Hofer
  23. P2 7:19Shot by Marner, saved by Hofer
  24. P2 8:02Shot by Kampf, saved by Hofer
  25. P2 8:07Neighbours: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Schenn, Leddy, Parayko, Kapanen, Neighbours · TOR Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Lajoie, Rifai

  26. P2 8:13Shot by Marner, saved by Hofer4v5
  27. P2 8:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Hofer4v5
  28. P2 8:39Shot by Thomas, saved by Samsonov4v5
  29. P2 9:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Hofer4v5
  30. P2 14:29Shot by Liljegren, saved by Hofer
  31. P2 15:15Reaves: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: STL Leddy, Krug, Sundqvist, Walker, Thomas, Toropchenko · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  32. P2 15:19Shot by Thomas, saved by Samsonov5v4
  33. P2 15:52Shot by Neighbours, saved by Samsonov5v4
  34. P2 15:58Shot by Thomas, saved by Samsonov5v4
  35. P2 17:14Goal by Saad (Parayko, Sundqvist)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Hayes, Saad, Parayko, Sundqvist · TOR Marner, Liljegren, Kampf, Benoit

  36. P2 18:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Hofer
  37. P2 18:54Shot by Domi, saved by Hofer
  38. P2 19:03Shot by Marner, saved by Hofer
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:04Kyrou: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Brodie, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Knies

  42. P3 0:45Goal by Matthews (Marner)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: STL Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich, Thomas · TOR Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  43. P3 1:40Shot by McMann, saved by Hofer
  44. P3 1:48Shot by Rifai, saved by Hofer
  45. P3 2:06Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Samsonov
  46. P3 2:55Shot by Parayko, saved by Samsonov
  47. P3 3:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Hofer
  48. P3 4:57Shot by Scandella, saved by Samsonov
  49. P3 5:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Hofer
  50. P3 6:22Knies: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Leddy, Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas, Neighbours · TOR Brodie, Domi, Marner, Liljegren, Knies

  51. P3 7:29Goal by Nylander, unassisted5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: STL Krug, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas, Neighbours · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Nylander, Holmberg

  52. P3 8:13Shot by Hayes, saved by Samsonov5v4
  53. P3 8:48Shot by Walker, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 9:09Shot by Robertson, saved by Hofer
  55. P3 9:26Shot by Walker, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 14:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Hofer
  57. P3 16:47Shot by Schenn, saved by Samsonov6v5
  58. P3 18:52Goal by Buchnevich (Krug, Thomas)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Krug, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas, Neighbours · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Kampf, Benoit

  59. P3 19:22Goal by McMann (Marner, Brodie)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Krug, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas, Neighbours · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, McMann

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final