Mon, Feb 19, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, St. Louis Blues 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
15%
70%
STL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 23:59 | 0.03 | 93.6% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.01 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:29 | 0.02 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 21:40 | 0.09 | 70.8% | +43.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.67 | 79.3% | +40.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.16 | 17.6% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.20 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.60 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.29 | 82.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:57 | 0.08 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.22 | 61.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.90 | 77.8% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.02 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.01 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.07 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.08 | 82.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.96 | 0.0 | 60:00 |
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:18 | 0.14 | 23.6% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:19 | 0.11 | 39.6% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.04 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.31 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:38 | 0.15 | 51.4% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.27 | 56.9% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.40 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.21 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.10 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.07 | 17.0% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.04 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 48.1% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.01 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.04 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.04 | 97.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.03 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:49 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.11 | −0.9 | 56:38 |