Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.
50%
10%
8%
31%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:40 | 0.05 | 24.8% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.04 | 41.0% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.24 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.21 | 52.1% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19:29 | 0.25 | 39.3% | +71.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:53 | 0.98 | 39.4% | +71.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.04 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.17 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.13 | 33.1% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.20 | 45.4% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:19 | 0.07 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.13 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.04 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.14 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:20 | 0.65 | 76.1% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:23 | 0.19 | 42.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.13 | 64.4% | +57.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.13 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.16 | 54.2% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:38 | 0.44 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.20 | 92.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.35 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.13 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.09 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.29 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:42 | 0.16 | 69.5% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:36 | 0.22 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.00 | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.55 | −1.4 | 58:13 |