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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Benoit: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Benoit

  3. P1 1:40Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov5v4
  4. P1 1:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov5v4
  5. P1 2:00Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov5v4
  6. P1 2:16Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Makar)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Makar · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Nylander, Holmberg

  7. P1 2:40Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 2:46Shot by Lagesson, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 3:36Shot by Brodie, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 3:50Shot by Knies, saved by Georgiev
  11. P1 6:05Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 6:06Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 8:42Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 9:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 9:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 10:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 11:07Goal by Cogliano (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cogliano, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Byram · TOR Reaves, Brodie, Rielly, Domi, Holmberg

  18. P1 11:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  19. P1 11:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 12:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Georgiev
  21. P1 12:26Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  22. P1 13:08Colton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Girard, Colton, O'Connor · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Liljegren, Robertson

  23. P1 13:42Goal by Bertuzzi (Marner, Nylander)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Lehkonen, Toews, Makar · TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  24. P1 14:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 16:29Shot by Wood, saved by Samsonov
  26. P1 19:21Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Samsonov
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 4:55Shot by Manson, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 5:07Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  31. P2 5:30Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 7:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  33. P2 7:45Shot by Colton, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 8:06Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 8:55Shot by Byram, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 11:29Shot by Colton, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 12:13Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 12:38Shot by Parise, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 13:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 14:23Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 14:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 14:45Goal by Bertuzzi (Nylander, Domi)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Wagner, Wood, Makar, O'Connor, Byram · TOR Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Liljegren, Benoit

  43. P2 14:59Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 15:15Shot by McMann, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 15:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 15:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  47. P2 15:40Shot by Domi, saved by Georgiev
  48. P2 16:48Goal by Marner (Knies, Brodie)+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Wood, Toews, Rantanen, Makar, O'Connor · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  49. P2 17:28Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov
  50. P2 19:02Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov
  51. P2 19:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:02Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 3:17Shot by Wood, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 3:59Shot by Johansen, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 4:32Shot by Girard, saved by Samsonov
  58. P3 4:41Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Byram)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Byram · TOR Brodie, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Liljegren

  59. P3 9:34Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  60. P3 13:07Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 13:57Shot by Wood, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 15:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev
  63. P3 15:56Rantanen: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · TOR Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Marner, Matthews

  64. P3 16:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev4v5
  65. P3 17:09Goal by Bertuzzi (Nylander, Matthews)4v5+37 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Manson, Girard, O'Connor · TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  66. P3 18:02Shot by Knies, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 19:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov6v5
  68. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  69. P3 0:00Final6v5