Mon, Mar 4, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
48%
10%
34%
TOR winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:12 | 0.05 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 18:27 | 0.35 | 74.8% | +34.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:46 | 0.75 | 71.2% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.49 | 44.3% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.13 | 44.3% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 37.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 63.5% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.15 | 42.4% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:16 | 0.03 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.44 | 41.9% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.11 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.07 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.13 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.02 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.12 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:44 | 0.21 | 62.0% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.19 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:45 | 0.50 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.03 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.39 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.22 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.11 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.20 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:45 | 0.25 | 47.0% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.31 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.05 | 72.1% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:14 | 0.22 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:32 | 0.28 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:48 | 0.11 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.05 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.74 | −1.3 | 58:23 |