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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 4, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Boston Bruins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Charlie McAvoyD · #730000125:120.0545.0%0.0
Brandon CarloD · #25000+1120:480.0050.0%0.0
Matt GrzelcykD · #48000+1020:480.0142.7%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #29000+1019:150.0078.6%0.0
David PastrnakRW · #88033+2718:270.3574.8%+34.8
Pavel ZachaC · #18202+1417:460.7571.2%+18.9
Charlie CoyleC · #130110317:320.4944.3%+9.5
Brad MarchandLW · #630110317:100.1344.3%+9.5
Mason LohreiD · #6011+1016:460.0037.1%+15.9
Danton HeinenLW · #43011+1015:200.0063.5%+4.0
Kevin ShattenkirkD · #120000014:570.0030.3%0.0
Morgan GeekieC · #39101+1214:540.1542.4%+15.9
Trent FredericC · #110000214:160.0326.7%0.0
Jake DeBruskLW · #741120114:040.4441.9%+24.4
James van RiemsdykLW · #21000+1112:520.1148.5%0.0
Jakub LaukoC · #940000011:130.0731.9%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #550000110:360.1336.5%0.0
Jesper BoqvistC · #700000110:300.0231.4%0.0
Jeremy Swayman#1W33321.9703.12+2.160:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #440110422:440.2162.0%+6.3
Mitch MarnerRW · #160000021:140.1962.6%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−1520:450.5071.7%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000−2120:200.0345.4%0.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #590000220:080.3941.5%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−1319:460.2248.1%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #220000019:230.1163.1%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37000−2018:100.0039.5%0.0
Max DomiC · #110000216:530.2028.1%0.0
John TavaresC · #911010416:450.2547.0%+6.3
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1016:390.0144.7%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19000−1316:010.3141.0%0.0
Ilya LyubushkinD · #46011−1115:410.0572.1%+6.3
Bobby McMannC · #740000513:140.2246.1%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−1312:320.2864.5%0.0
David KampfC · #64000−1010:480.0070.6%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−108:480.1157.2%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000008:280.0544.0%0.0
Joseph Woll#60L27234.8522.74−1.358:23