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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 4, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Boston Bruins 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pastrnak–Heinen–Zachavan Riemsdyk–Frederic–GeekieMarchand–Coyle–DeBruskBrazeau–Boqvist–LaukoHeinen–Frederic–GeekieGrzelcyk–McAvoyShattenkirk–WotherspoonCarlo–LohreiCarlo–WotherspoonGrzelcyk–CarloWotherspoon–McAvoyMcAvoy–LohreiShattenkirk–Lohrei
Tavares–Jarnkrok–McMann5:070.05–0.371:290.15–0.002:110.09–0.001:080.00–0.073:290.23–0.122:590.01–0.072:570.05–0.000:380.00–0.240:400.01–0.00
Marner–Matthews–Knies2:080.14–0.101:140.05–0.004:180.26–0.041:140.15–0.054:520.30–0.001:140.00–0.001:450.13–0.000:500.05–0.000:330.00–0.050:300.00–0.10
Bertuzzi–Domi–Nylander0:450.00–0.104:230.08–0.040:560.00–0.002:300.02–0.100:560.09–0.001:460.10–0.043:480.02–0.102:020.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:420.00–0.10
Reaves–Kampf–Holmberg0:520.00–0.001:270.03–0.002:190.17–0.001:290.03–0.002:060.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:390.16–0.00
Reaves–Bertuzzi–Domi0:510.00–0.211:040.00–0.21
McCabe–Benoit2:490.04–0.002:500.00–0.043:350.06–0.211:400.16–0.005:340.06–0.253:230.01–0.001:200.02–0.000:320.01–0.000:440.16–0.00
Brodie–Liljegren4:080.17–0.572:420.15–0.111:060.06–0.042:580.02–0.102:440.23–0.123:530.04–0.102:530.09–0.161:060.03–0.240:590.00–0.21
Rielly–Lyubushkin2:390.03–0.002:230.08–0.002:520.08–0.001:410.16–0.052:340.07–0.002:070.05–0.003:500.10–0.000:530.05–0.000:520.00–0.05
Rielly–Liljegren0:360.00–0.000:420.07–0.000:430.10–0.000:300.00–0.00
Brodie–Lyubushkin0:430.14–0.001:050.14–0.000:360.00–0.00
Rielly–McCabe0:480.00–0.070:400.00–0.070:430.00–0.00
Brodie–McCabe0:360.00–0.000:520.19–0.00
Lyubushkin–Benoit0:380.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJarnkrok FMcMann FTavares FMarner FKnies FMatthews FDomi FBertuzzi FNylander FHolmberg FKampf FReaves FLiljegren DBrodie DRielly DLyubushkin DBenoit DMcCabe DWoll GZacha FHeinen FPastrnak FCoyle FMarchand FDeBrusk FBrazeau FBoqvist FLauko FFrederic Fvan Riemsdyk FGeekie FGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DLohrei DCarlo DShattenkirk DWotherspoon DSwayman G
TORBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS3025:120:501:5505
Morgan RiellyTOR2722:440:511:5971
Mitch MarnerTOR2021:141:041:5731
Brandon CarloBOS2820:480:451:2005
Matt GrzelcykBOS3020:480:421:2015
Auston MatthewsTOR1920:451:062:1231
TJ BrodieTOR2620:200:471:3613
Tyler BertuzziTOR1920:081:042:1060
William NylanderTOR2019:460:591:5560
Jake McCabeTOR2419:230:481:5912
Parker WotherspoonBOS2419:150:481:3123
David PastrnakBOS2218:270:501:4531
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2418:100:451:2241
Pavel ZachaBOS2517:460:431:0913
Charlie CoyleBOS2317:320:461:0927
Brad MarchandBOS2317:100:451:1526
Max DomiTOR1816:530:562:1120
Mason LohreiBOS2516:460:401:2103
John TavaresTOR2016:450:501:3452
Simon BenoitTOR2316:390:431:2702
Calle JarnkrokTOR2116:010:461:3042
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2615:410:360:5822
Danton HeinenBOS2315:200:401:0312
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS2014:570:451:0620
Morgan GeekieBOS1814:540:502:0002
Trent FredericBOS1914:160:451:2602
Jake DeBruskBOS2214:040:381:1715
Bobby McMannTOR1713:140:471:3142
James van RiemsdykBOS1712:520:451:3322
Matthew KniesTOR1812:320:421:2611
Jakub LaukoBOS1511:130:451:0000
David KampfTOR1310:480:501:3602
Justin BrazeauBOS1510:360:420:5700
Jesper BoqvistBOS1510:300:420:5400
Pontus HolmbergTOR138:480:410:5700
Ryan ReavesTOR118:280:461:1400