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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 5, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark

Florida Panthers 5, New Jersey Devils 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 75% of the time.

NJD winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Ekblad, saved by Schmid
  3. P1 2:54Goal by Cousins (Tkachuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Smith, Haula, Bratt, Bahl, Hughes · FLA Cousins, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  4. P1 3:53Shot by Mikkola, saved by Schmid
  5. P1 4:47Hughes: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Miller, MacDermid, Nosek, Holtz, Hughes · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Stenlund, Lomberg, Gadjovich

  6. P1 5:14Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid4v5
  7. P1 5:34Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid4v5
  8. P1 6:30Goal by Rodrigues (Tkachuk, Bennett)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Smith, Tierney, Lazar, Marino · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Ekblad, Bennett, Rodrigues, Tkachuk

  9. P1 10:16Shot by Bratt, saved by Stolarz
  10. P1 10:32Stenlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Haula, Siegenthaler, Marino, Bratt, Hughes · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Stenlund, Lomberg, Gadjovich

  11. P1 11:45Goal by Hughes (Bratt, Hughes)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes, Hughes · FLA Reinhart, Forsling, Mikkola, Lundell

  12. P1 11:55Shot by Cousins, saved by Schmid
  13. P1 13:25Shot by Ekblad, saved by Schmid
  14. P1 13:26MacDermid: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Miller, MacDermid, Nosek, Holtz, Hughes · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, Lomberg, Gadjovich

  15. P1 14:17Reinhart: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NJD Smith, Marino, Hischier, Mercer · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk

  16. P1 15:05Shot by Haula, saved by Stolarz4v4
  17. P1 17:42Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  18. P1 17:55Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  19. P1 19:47Shot by Montour, saved by Schmid
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:13Shot by Bratt, saved by Stolarz
  23. P2 0:15Shot by Haula, saved by Stolarz
  24. P2 0:24Shot by Bratt, saved by Stolarz
  25. P2 1:30Shot by Tierney, saved by Stolarz
  26. P2 1:36Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Schmid
  27. P2 1:42Shot by Lundell, saved by Schmid
  28. P2 1:57Shot by MacDermid, saved by Stolarz
  29. P2 2:05Shot by Hughes, saved by Stolarz
  30. P2 2:06Shot by Hughes, saved by Stolarz
  31. P2 3:56Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid
  32. P2 4:01Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  33. P2 4:26Shot by Lundell, saved by Schmid
  34. P2 4:45Shot by Lomberg, saved by Schmid
  35. P2 5:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Schmid
  36. P2 8:45Lomberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Miller, MacDermid, Nosek, Holtz, Hughes · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Stenlund, Lomberg, Gadjovich

  37. P2 8:50Shot by Toffoli, saved by Stolarz5v4
  38. P2 9:44Shot by Hischier, saved by Stolarz5v4
  39. P2 9:45Shot by Hischier, saved by Stolarz5v4
  40. P2 11:01Goal by Meier, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Haula, Miller, Meier, Bahl, Holtz · FLA Kulikov, Stenlund, Mikkola, Lomberg, Luostarinen

  41. P2 12:37Goal by Luostarinen (Kulikov, Ekman-Larsson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Siegenthaler, Marino, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Lundell

  42. P2 13:19Shot by Bahl, saved by Stolarz
  43. P2 15:24Shot by Bratt, saved by Stolarz
  44. P2 18:29Shot by Lazar, saved by Stolarz
  45. P2 19:00Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:05Shot by Reinhart, saved by Schmid
  49. P3 1:06Shot by Reinhart, saved by Schmid
  50. P3 1:08Shot by Forsling, saved by Schmid
  51. P3 1:08Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  52. P3 1:09Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  53. P3 1:10Shot by Reinhart, saved by Schmid
  54. P3 3:15Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Schmid
  55. P3 5:33Goal by Cousins (Forsling, Tkachuk)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Smith, Tierney, Lazar, Bahl, Mercer · FLA Cousins, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  56. P3 5:53Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  57. P3 7:39Shot by Hischier, saved by Stolarz
  58. P3 9:33Shot by Mercer, saved by Stolarz
  59. P3 11:02Shot by Haula, saved by Stolarz
  60. P3 11:16Goal by Miller (Bratt, Hughes)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Haula, Miller, Bratt, Hughes, Hughes · FLA Cousins, Bennett, Montour, Mikkola, Tkachuk

  61. P3 14:03Shot by Forsling, saved by Schmid
  62. P3 15:02Shot by Smith, saved by Stolarz
  63. P3 17:31Shot by Marino, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 19:12Shot by Toffoli, saved by Stolarz6v5
  65. P3 19:52Goal by Reinhart (Ekblad)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Toffoli, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes, Hughes · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Tkachuk

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final