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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 14, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Arizona Coyotes 4, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.

DET winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Shot by Fabbri, saved by Ingram
  3. P1 3:16Keller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Compher, Walman, Seider, Raymond · ARI O'Brien, Keller, Välimäki, McBain, Kesselring

  4. P1 3:41Shot by Kane, saved by Ingram5v4
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Fabbri, saved by Ingram5v4
  6. P1 5:10Goal by Cooley (Guenther)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, DeBrincat, Berggren, Seider · ARI Brown, Dermott, Guenther, Cooley

  7. P1 5:19Rasmussen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno · ARI Bjugstad, Schmaltz, Keller, Kesselring, Moser

  8. P1 8:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ingram
  9. P1 10:12Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 11:02Shot by Dermott, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 11:59Shot by Kesselring, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 12:46Shot by Leonard, saved by Lyon
  13. P1 13:54Shot by Maccelli, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 14:19Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, Raymond · ARI Kerfoot, Carcone, Välimäki, Kesselring, Maccelli

  15. P1 15:08Shot by Perron, saved by Ingram5v4
  16. P1 15:30Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ingram5v4
  17. P1 16:58Kesselring: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno · ARI Kerfoot, Carcone, Kesselring, Maccelli, Moser

  18. P1 18:00Goal by Raymond (Kane, Gostisbehere)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Kane, Gostisbehere, Compher, Raymond · ARI Crouse, Välimäki, Durzi, McBain

  19. P1 18:10Shot by Seider, saved by Ingram
  20. P1 18:55Shot by Kane, saved by Ingram
  21. P1 18:57Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ingram
  22. P1 19:02Shot by Cooley, saved by Lyon
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:59Shot by Kane, saved by Ingram
  26. P2 1:26Dermott: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Rasmussen, Veleno · ARI Kerfoot, Brown, Dermott, Carcone, Maccelli

  27. P2 1:48Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Ingram5v4
  28. P2 4:04Shot by McBain, saved by Lyon
  29. P2 5:06Shot by Maatta, saved by Ingram
  30. P2 6:55Shot by Kane, saved by Ingram
  31. P2 7:45Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Lyon
  32. P2 8:36Goal by Carcone (Kerfoot, Maccelli)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, Raymond · ARI Kerfoot, Carcone, Välimäki, Maccelli, Moser

  33. P2 8:49Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ingram
  34. P2 9:33Shot by Seider, saved by Ingram
  35. P2 9:39Shot by Walman, saved by Ingram
  36. P2 13:13Shot by Välimäki, saved by Lyon
  37. P2 13:22Shot by Moser, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 16:16Shot by Guenther, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 17:15Shot by Seider, saved by Ingram
  40. P2 17:50Shot by Walman, saved by Ingram
  41. P2 17:52Chiarot: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Walman, Raymond · ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller

  42. P2 17:52Raymond: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Walman, Raymond · ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller

  43. P2 17:52Brown: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Walman, Raymond · ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller

  44. P2 17:54Shot by Keller, saved by Lyon4v5
  45. P2 18:04Shot by Guenther, saved by Lyon4v5
  46. P2 19:47Shot by Veleno, saved by Ingram4v5
  47. P2 19:55Shot by Carcone, saved by Lyon
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:40Shot by Durzi, saved by Lyon
  51. P3 3:04Shot by Czarnik, saved by Ingram
  52. P3 3:21Shot by Leonard, saved by Lyon
  53. P3 4:06Shot by Raymond, saved by Ingram
  54. P3 6:17Shot by Kane, saved by Ingram
  55. P3 6:43Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Ingram
  56. P3 7:13Shot by Walman, saved by Ingram
  57. P3 8:23Shot by Berggren, saved by Ingram
  58. P3 9:46Shot by Raymond, saved by Ingram
  59. P3 10:02Goal by Bjugstad (Schmaltz, Keller)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Walman, Veleno, Raymond · ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Schmaltz, Keller, Kesselring

  60. P3 11:26Shot by O'Brien, saved by Lyon
  61. P3 13:22Shot by Keller, saved by Lyon
  62. P3 14:20Shot by Cooley, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 16:41Shot by Kane, saved by Ingram6v5
  64. P3 16:48Shot by Perron, saved by Ingram6v5
  65. P3 16:56Goal by Keller (Bjugstad, Dermott)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Kane, Compher, Fabbri, Walman, Raymond · ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller

  66. P3 17:41Shot by Durzi, saved by Lyon
  67. P3 17:44Shot by Guenther, saved by Lyon
  68. P3 17:50Shot by Durzi, saved by Lyon
  69. P3 18:25Shot by Cooley, saved by Lyon
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final