Thu, Mar 14, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Vegas Golden Knights 1, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 75% of the time.
68%
18%
CGY winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.07 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.08 | 46.2% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.12 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:55 | 0.35 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.46 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:14 | 0.52 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.15 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.06 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.13 | 37.9% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.02 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.10 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.06 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.22 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.07 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.08 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.51 | +0.5 | 59:43 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:45 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.03 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 21:40 | 0.70 | 58.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.01 | 64.4% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:43 | 0.62 | 74.5% | +30.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:37 | 1.02 | 61.7% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.19 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.32 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.35 | 71.2% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.16 | 58.7% | +37.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:35 | 0.08 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.01 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.15 | 61.6% | +37.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 11:56 | 0.23 | 73.6% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.17 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:55 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.50 | +1.5 | 60:00 |