Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Florida Panthers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 76% of the time.

FLA winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Goal by Stamkos (Cernak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Mikkola, Tkachuk · TBL Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  3. P1 0:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:11Shot by Motte, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 2:14Shot by de Haan, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 2:23Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 2:30Shot by de Haan, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 4:00Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  9. P1 4:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 5:42Dumba: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Cousins, Forsling, Stenlund, Lomberg · TBL de Haan, Glendening, Dumba, Motte, Chaffee

  11. P1 5:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  12. P1 6:22Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  13. P1 6:58Shot by Motte, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  14. P1 7:09Shot by de Haan, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  15. P1 10:03Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 10:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 12:25Shot by Perbix, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 12:31Shot by Mahura, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 13:18Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Bobrovsky
  20. P1 13:21Goal by Eyssimont (Paul, Perbix)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Mikkola · TBL Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Eyssimont, Perbix

  21. P1 14:21Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 14:33Bennett: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh

  23. P1 15:10Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Barkov, Reinhart, Forsling · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  24. P1 15:10Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Barkov, Reinhart, Forsling · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  25. P1 15:10Reinhart: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Barkov, Reinhart, Forsling · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  26. P1 16:52Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  27. P1 17:46Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 17:54Perbix: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour, Mikkola · TBL Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  29. P1 19:09Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  30. P1 19:36Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 3:02Goal by Raddysh (Duclair, Stamkos)+10 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Montour, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Duclair, Raddysh, Cirelli

  34. P2 3:31Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 3:38Kulikov: Match penalty (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Cousins, Stenlund, Lomberg, Mahura · TBL Hedman, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  36. P2 3:38Eyssimont: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Cousins, Stenlund, Lomberg, Mahura · TBL Hedman, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  37. P2 6:51Ekman-Larsson: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Bennett, Forsling, Stenlund · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Cirelli

  38. P2 6:59Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)3v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Barkov, Forsling, Mikkola · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  39. P2 7:28Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  40. P2 8:02Shot by Mahura, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  41. P2 8:23Goal by Tkachuk (Mahura)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Hagel, Eyssimont

  42. P2 9:28Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 10:31Glendening: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Bennett, Forsling, Rodrigues, Tkachuk · TBL Glendening, Paul, Cernak, Eyssimont, Perbix

  44. P2 10:40Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  45. P2 11:55Goal by Reinhart (Bennett, Tkachuk)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Reinhart, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk · TBL de Haan, Dumba, Motte, Hagel

  46. P2 13:00Shot by Mahura, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 13:08Shot by Mikkola, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 13:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 14:42Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 15:27Cernak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Verhaeghe, Montour, Forsling, Lundell · TBL Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  51. P2 16:26Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P2 16:27Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  53. P2 16:29Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  54. P2 16:34Dumba: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk · TBL Hedman, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel

  55. P2 16:53Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  56. P2 17:09Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  57. P2 17:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  58. P2 18:28Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  59. P2 19:50Shot by Sheary, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:48Shot by Mikkola, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 0:49Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 2:14Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 2:23Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 2:28Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 4:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 4:45Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 5:57Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 7:36Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 7:38Duclair: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Mikkola · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh

  72. P3 7:48Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  73. P3 9:01Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  74. P3 9:06Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  75. P3 9:27Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  76. P3 9:34Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  77. P3 9:44Bennett: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Tarasenko, Bennett, Rodrigues, Lundell · TBL de Haan, Duclair, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  78. P3 11:56Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 13:35Forsling: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling · TBL Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Cernak, Perbix

  80. P3 16:08Goal by Reinhart, unassisted+10 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling · TBL de Haan, Glendening, Dumba, Motte, Sheary

  81. P3 17:13Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  82. P3 17:39Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  83. P3 17:41Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  84. P3 18:28Goal by Kucherov (Hagel, Stamkos)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Dumba, Point, Hagel

  85. P3 19:17Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  86. P3 19:22Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  87. P3 19:36Verhaeghe: Closing hand on puck (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel

  88. P3 19:53Lomberg: Kneeing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Stenlund, Mikkola, Lomberg, Mahura · TBL Dumba, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  89. P3 19:53Dumba: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Stenlund, Mikkola, Lomberg, Mahura · TBL Dumba, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  90. P3 19:53Mikkola: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Stenlund, Mikkola, Lomberg, Mahura · TBL Dumba, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  91. P3 0:00Period end3v5
  92. P3 0:00Final3v5