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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 21, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 3, Detroit Red Wings 6

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 54% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:56Shot by Fasching, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 3:09Shot by Copp, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 3:37Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 4:52Shot by Fasching, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 5:49Shot by Palmieri, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 6:15Shot by Dobson, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 6:25Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 7:51Shot by Fasching, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 9:12Maatta: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Fabbri, Czarnik, Veleno · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Reilly, MacLean

  11. P1 9:36Shot by Palmieri, saved by Reimer4v5
  12. P1 10:03Shot by Palmieri, saved by Reimer4v5
  13. P1 10:16Shot by Pulock, saved by Reimer4v5
  14. P1 11:51Clutterbuck: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Larkin, Raymond · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pelech, Dobson, MacLean

  15. P1 11:55Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin5v4
  16. P1 13:23Shot by Fabbri, saved by Sorokin5v4
  17. P1 13:51Shot by Cizikas, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 16:13Shot by Maatta, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 18:16Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:09Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Reimer
  23. P2 2:13Shot by Romanov, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 2:43Shot by Pageau, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 3:13Shot by Veleno, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 4:01Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 4:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 6:02Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 6:08Compher: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov, Holmstrom

  30. P2 7:20Shot by Barzal, saved by Reimer4v5
  31. P2 7:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Reimer4v5
  32. P2 10:45Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 11:15Goal by Fischer (Rasmussen, Seider)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov

  34. P2 13:25Goal by Reilly (MacLean, Cizikas)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Fabbri, Czarnik, Veleno, Edvinsson · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Reilly, MacLean

  35. P2 13:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 13:39Rasmussen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Horvat

  37. P2 15:20Shot by Pageau, saved by Reimer4v5
  38. P2 15:39Shot by Pulock, saved by Reimer4v5
  39. P2 15:57Shot by Fischer, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 16:00Goal by Copp (Fischer, Chiarot)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat

  41. P2 18:08Goal by Larkin (DeBrincat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond, Edvinsson · NYI Lee, Reilly, Fasching, Pulock, Barzal

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:57Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  45. P3 2:00Shot by Petry, saved by Sorokin
  46. P3 2:27Shot by Nelson, saved by Reimer
  47. P3 3:46Shot by Dobson, saved by Reimer
  48. P3 4:11Shot by Czarnik, saved by Sorokin
  49. P3 5:12Goal by Copp (Fischer, Rasmussen)+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Edvinsson · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Barzal, Romanov

  50. P3 5:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 6:22Goal by Kane (DeBrincat, Gostisbehere)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Romanov, MacLean

  52. P3 7:50Shot by Reilly, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 8:00Rasmussen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Romanov

  54. P3 8:13Shot by Palmieri, saved by Reimer4v5
  55. P3 9:30Shot by Pulock, saved by Reimer4v5
  56. P3 9:34Goal by Pageau (Pulock, Engvall)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Compher, Seider · NYI Lee, Pageau, Reilly, Pulock, Engvall

  57. P3 10:06Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 10:58Shot by Dobson, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 11:20Goal by Barzal (Pelech, Lee)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Edvinsson · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  60. P3 12:19Shot by Pelech, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 13:28Shot by Barzal, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 13:40Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 14:27Shot by Horvat, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 14:51Shot by Barzal, saved by Reimer5v6
  65. P3 15:16Shot by Barzal, saved by Reimer5v6
  66. P3 15:36Shot by Horvat, saved by Reimer5v6
  67. P3 15:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Reimer5v6
  68. P3 16:15Goal by Larkin (Raymond)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  69. P3 17:51Shot by Barzal, saved by Reimer
  70. P3 18:08Shot by Romanov, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 18:39Bortuzzo: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Edvinsson · NYI Clutterbuck, Bortuzzo, Cizikas, Romanov, MacLean

  72. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  73. P3 0:00Final5v4