Sun, Mar 24, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 4, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
57%
CGY winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:04 | 0.01 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 22:36 | 0.16 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.07 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.33 | 44.7% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.19 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.79 | 50.4% | +37.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.32 | 45.0% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.19 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.45 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.24 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.33 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.06 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.18 | 62.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.01 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.10 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.06 | 60.6% | +15.1 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.57 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 23:55 | 0.09 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:18 | 0.12 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.07 | 54.6% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.15 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.01 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:41 | 0.25 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.20 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.30 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:23 | 0.22 | 35.3% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.15 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 16:25 | 0.46 | 48.3% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.22 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.03 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.27 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:21 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.55 | +0.6 | 58:00 |