Thu, Mar 28, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 88% of the time.
83%
TOR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:45 | 0.11 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.04 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:41 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.31 | 39.9% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.03 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.13 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.10 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.36 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.14 | 25.7% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.06 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.05 | 11.7% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.07 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 | 0.00 | 5.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 48 | 43 | 5 | .896 | 4.00 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.08 | 73.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.04 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.08 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.00 | 70.4% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 19:18 | 0.25 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 18:51 | 0.84 | 79.6% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.16 | 73.2% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:19 | 0.34 | 72.6% | +5.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 15:53 | 0.50 | 73.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.18 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.11 | 58.1% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 14:50 | 0.64 | 74.2% | +5.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.17 | 58.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.05 | 62.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.47 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.10 | 57.2% | +13.4 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 1.46 | +0.5 | 60:00 |