Thu, Mar 28, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 88% of the time.
83%
TOR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Oshie–McMichael | Pacioretty–Strome–Miroshnichenko | Sgarbossa–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | Sgarbossa–Protas–Lapierre | Pacioretty–Dowd–Miroshnichenko | Strome–McMichael–Protas | Dowd–Protas–Lapierre | Protas–Lapierre–Miroshnichenko | Ovechkin–Oshie–Lapierre | Oshie–Pacioretty–Strome | van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev | Carlson–Sandin | Jensen–Fehérváry | Jensen–Sandin | Carlson–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | Carlson–Alexeyev | Carlson–van Riemsdyk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bertuzzi–Domi–Matthews | 2:130.21–0.16 | 1:210.03–0.00 | 1:120.26–0.08 | 0:310.22–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 0:540.00–0.05 | 1:260.48–0.08 | 1:240.00–0.01 | 4:000.13–0.15 | 2:190.29–0.08 | 1:420.13–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 0:540.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–McMann | 1:500.17–0.00 | 3:060.02–0.35 | 1:010.11–0.00 | 1:360.06–0.00 | 1:240.21–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:380.08–0.00 | 0:500.11–0.00 | 4:210.36–0.02 | 0:550.30–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 2:030.04–0.27 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Reaves–Kampf–Dewar | 2:480.25–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.11 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 3:100.25–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:490.13–0.11 | 1:170.00–0.16 | 1:240.00–0.01 | 0:590.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Holmberg–Robertson–Knies | 2:550.27–0.00 | 2:100.05–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:420.25–0.01 | 1:230.00–0.08 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:010.05–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.06 | 0:360.01–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.11 | |||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Knies | 0:360.04–0.04 | 0:330.04–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Lyubushkin | 1:540.37–0.02 | 1:400.04–0.00 | 1:090.04–0.01 | 1:000.08–0.00 | 1:160.35–0.07 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.02 | 2:090.53–0.00 | 3:300.18–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 4:010.18–0.02 | 1:160.00–0.08 | 0:520.10–0.00 | 0:510.03–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.11 | ||||
| Giordano–Timmins | 2:410.15–0.17 | 1:520.04–0.02 | 2:300.25–0.00 | 1:070.04–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:080.08–0.00 | 0:390.16–0.00 | 1:050.43–0.05 | 3:540.27–0.02 | 1:500.15–0.00 | 2:010.28–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.16 | 1:070.00–0.01 | 1:270.50–0.00 | 1:140.08–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.01 | ||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 2:280.11–0.04 | 2:180.00–0.08 | 1:000.05–0.00 | 2:000.00–0.12 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:480.12–0.00 | 1:220.11–0.00 | 3:110.08–0.05 | 3:010.13–0.11 | 4:210.34–0.08 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Timmins–Benoit | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Lyubushkin–Benoit | 0:540.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Timmins | 0:300.02–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 25 | 23:45 | 0:57 | 2:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 25 | 22:21 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 21:20 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 2 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 25 | 20:47 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 2 | 5 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 25 | 20:03 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 19:41 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 24 | 19:27 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 1 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 19:18 | 0:55 | 2:07 | 4 | 5 |
 Ilya LyubushkinTOR | 27 | 19:13 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 22 | 18:57 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 18:51 | 0:57 | 3:02 | 3 | 0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 23 | 18:31 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 22 | 18:27 | 0:50 | 2:10 | 7 | 0 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 25 | 17:19 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 22 | 17:17 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 |
 Max PaciorettyWSH | 22 | 16:59 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 2:03 | 4 | 5 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 24 | 15:57 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH | 22 | 15:56 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 4 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 23 | 15:52 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 6 | 3 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 21 | 15:36 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 7 | 0 |
 Max DomiTOR | 20 | 15:29 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 0 | 6 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 20 | 14:50 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 3 | 5 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 17 | 13:10 | 0:46 | 1:04 | 0 | 6 |
 Alexander AlexeyevWSH | 17 | 13:10 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 18 | 12:52 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 15 | 12:43 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 2 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 17 | 12:42 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 2 | 6 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 15 | 12:13 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 2 | 6 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 11:57 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 15 | 11:23 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 0 | 4 |
 Michael SgarbossaWSH | 15 | 11:03 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |