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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 28, 2024·Mullett Arena, Tempe

Nashville Predators 4, Arizona Coyotes 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 75% of the time.

ARI winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Smith, saved by Ingram
  3. P1 1:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  5. P1 2:17Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram
  6. P1 2:22Goal by Zucker (Glass, Sissons)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Kerfoot, O'Brien, Carcone, Välimäki, Kesselring · NSH Schenn, Josi, Zucker, Sissons, Glass

  7. P1 5:11Goal by Zucker (Glass, Josi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Crouse, Durzi, Moser, Guenther, Cooley · NSH McDonagh, Josi, Zucker, Sissons, Glass

  8. P1 5:56Shot by Kesselring, saved by Saros
  9. P1 6:40Shot by McCarron, saved by Ingram
  10. P1 6:47Shot by Lauzon, saved by Ingram
  11. P1 8:00Goal by McBain (Doan)+14 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Brown, Dermott, McBain, Maccelli, Doan · NSH McDonagh, Barrie, Zucker, Sissons, Glass

  12. P1 8:27Shot by Välimäki, saved by Saros
  13. P1 9:35Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  14. P1 9:37Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  15. P1 10:42Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  16. P1 10:53Shot by Välimäki, saved by Saros
  17. P1 13:44Shot by Guenther, saved by Saros
  18. P1 14:08Shot by Sherwood, saved by Ingram
  19. P1 15:14Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  20. P1 15:43Shot by Doan, saved by Saros
  21. P1 16:34Shot by Evangelista, saved by Ingram
  22. P1 17:00Goal by Cooley (Crouse)+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Brown, Crouse, Durzi, Guenther, Cooley · NSH Schenn, Josi, Jankowski, Novak, Evangelista

  23. P1 18:21Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  24. P1 19:22Sherwood: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Brown, Välimäki, Maccelli, Guenther, Cooley · NSH McDonagh, Josi, McCarron, Sherwood, Smith

  25. P1 19:25Shot by Keller, saved by Saros5v4
  26. P1 19:31Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros5v4
  27. P1 19:58Shot by Durzi, saved by Saros5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:41Shot by Durzi, saved by Saros5v4
  31. P2 2:19Shot by Doan, saved by Saros
  32. P2 2:36Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  33. P2 4:11Shot by Dermott, saved by Saros
  34. P2 4:49Shot by McCarron, saved by Ingram
  35. P2 4:49Shot by McCarron, saved by Ingram
  36. P2 5:42Shot by Crouse, saved by Saros
  37. P2 5:53Shot by Durzi, saved by Saros
  38. P2 5:58Schenn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ARI Kerfoot, O'Brien, Carcone, Durzi, Moser · NSH Schenn, Josi, Zucker, Sissons, Glass

  39. P2 5:58O'Brien: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ARI Kerfoot, O'Brien, Carcone, Durzi, Moser · NSH Schenn, Josi, Zucker, Sissons, Glass

  40. P2 6:52Evangelista: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Brown, Dermott, McBain, Maccelli, Doan · NSH Nyquist, Barrie, Forsberg, Sissons, Lauzon

  41. P2 7:11Goal by Keller (Kerfoot, Guenther)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Kerfoot, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Guenther · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Lauzon, Smith

  42. P2 8:11Goal by Cooley (Keller)+13 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Schmaltz, Crouse, Välimäki, Kesselring, Cooley · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Stastney

  43. P2 8:26Shot by McBain, saved by Saros
  44. P2 8:52Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros
  45. P2 9:37Shot by Stastney, saved by Ingram
  46. P2 9:44Shot by Jankowski, saved by Ingram
  47. P2 10:08Crouse: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Crouse, Durzi, Moser, Guenther, Cooley · NSH Jankowski, Novak, Lauzon, Stastney, Evangelista

  48. P2 11:08Goal by Nyquist (Forsberg, Josi)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Brown, Dermott, McBain, Guenther · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg

  49. P2 11:14Shot by Doan, saved by Saros
  50. P2 12:09Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Saros
  51. P2 12:15Shot by Kesselring, saved by Saros
  52. P2 12:36Goal by Bjugstad (Keller, Schmaltz)+13 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Kesselring · NSH Schenn, Josi, Nyquist, Zucker, Sissons

  53. P2 15:48Shot by Schenn, saved by Ingram
  54. P2 16:05Goal by Schmaltz (Keller, Durzi)+6 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Durzi · NSH Schenn, Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg

  55. P2 16:25Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros
  56. P2 17:26Shot by Lauzon, saved by Ingram
  57. P2 17:31Jankowski: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Kerfoot, O'Brien, Brown, Dermott, Carcone · NSH Jankowski, Novak, Lauzon, Stastney, Evangelista

  58. P2 19:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:49Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lankinen
  62. P3 1:20Shot by Durzi, saved by Lankinen
  63. P3 1:49Shot by Crouse, saved by Lankinen
  64. P3 2:36Shot by Jankowski, saved by Ingram
  65. P3 2:57Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram
  66. P3 3:55Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  67. P3 4:09Shot by Lauzon, saved by Ingram
  68. P3 6:34Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram
  69. P3 6:45Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Lankinen
  70. P3 7:47Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  71. P3 8:16Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  72. P3 8:17Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram
  73. P3 9:08Shot by Doan, saved by Lankinen
  74. P3 11:24Shot by O'Brien, saved by Lankinen
  75. P3 11:30Shot by Doan, saved by Lankinen
  76. P3 11:57Shot by McBain, saved by Lankinen
  77. P3 11:58Shot by Maccelli, saved by Lankinen
  78. P3 13:17Shot by Barrie, saved by Ingram
  79. P3 13:18Shot by Barrie, saved by Ingram
  80. P3 13:19Shot by Jankowski, saved by Ingram
  81. P3 13:57Goal by Maccelli (Doan)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Durzi, McBain, Maccelli, Moser, Doan · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Evangelista

  82. P3 14:13Shot by Dermott, saved by Lankinen
  83. P3 15:47Bjugstad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Kesselring · NSH McDonagh, Barrie, Jankowski, Novak, Evangelista

  84. P3 16:40Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Barrie)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Brown, Dermott, Guenther, Cooley · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg

  85. P3 18:28Goal by Cooley (Brown)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Brown, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller, Cooley · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Sissons

  86. P3 18:50Shot by Zucker, saved by Ingram
  87. P3 19:01Shot by O'Brien, saved by Lankinen
  88. P3 19:11Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram
  89. P3 19:24Shot by Sherwood, saved by Ingram
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final