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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 1, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:24Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 1:55Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 2:38Shot by Motte, saved by Lyon
  7. P1 3:22Czarnik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli · DET Chiarot, Fabbri, Czarnik, Veleno, Seider

  8. P1 3:43Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon5v4
  9. P1 4:47Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon5v4
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Chaffee, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 8:08Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 8:21Shot by Perbix, saved by Lyon
  13. P1 8:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 10:07Raymond: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Cernak, Perbix · DET Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Seider, Raymond

  15. P1 10:24Shot by Point, saved by Lyon5v4
  16. P1 11:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon5v4
  17. P1 12:19Shot by Walman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 12:23Shot by Walman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 13:31Shot by Perbix, saved by Lyon
  20. P1 14:00Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 14:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon
  22. P1 15:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon
  23. P1 16:10Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 16:24Shot by Motte, saved by Lyon
  25. P1 16:42Shot by Chaffee, saved by Lyon
  26. P1 17:32Hagel: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Paul, Hagel, Perbix, Chaffee, Lilleberg · DET Kane, Gostisbehere, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen, Edvinsson

  27. P1 17:54Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P1 18:03Shot by Fabbri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  29. P1 18:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  30. P1 18:46Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  31. P1 19:20Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P1 19:20Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 0:37Goal by Kane (Larkin, DeBrincat)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · DET Petry, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Edvinsson

  37. P2 1:04Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 3:30Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 3:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lyon
  40. P2 6:47Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 7:14Hedman: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh · DET Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  42. P2 7:41Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  43. P2 8:18Shot by Cirelli, saved by Lyon4v5
  44. P2 8:36Goal by Cirelli (Hagel)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg · DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  45. P2 8:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  46. P2 9:14Shot by Motte, saved by Lyon4v5
  47. P2 9:34Shot by Raddysh, saved by Lyon
  48. P2 10:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 12:37Shot by Perbix, saved by Lyon
  50. P2 13:09Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Lyon
  51. P2 13:32Shot by Duclair, saved by Lyon
  52. P2 16:45Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Lyon
  53. P2 17:18Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 19:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:14Raddysh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · DET Petry, Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Edvinsson

  58. P3 1:40Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  59. P3 3:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 3:21Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 3:40Goal by Fabbri (Compher)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Dumba, Duclair, Point, Lilleberg · DET Petry, Compher, Fabbri, Raymond, Edvinsson

  62. P3 4:11Copp: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Eyssimont, Perbix, Chaffee, Lilleberg · DET Gostisbehere, Copp, Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen

  63. P3 4:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  64. P3 5:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Lyon5v4
  65. P3 5:59Goal by Stamkos (Point, Kucherov)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh · DET Petry, Fischer, Rasmussen, Edvinsson

  66. P3 7:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lyon
  67. P3 8:12Shot by Petry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 8:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon
  69. P3 9:41Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Lyon
  70. P3 11:54Shot by Chaffee, saved by Lyon
  71. P3 15:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon
  72. P3 16:07Shot by Duclair, saved by Lyon
  73. P3 16:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 17:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 17:18Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 17:20Goal by Perron (Seider, Compher)+45 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Glendening, Point, Perbix, Lilleberg · DET Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Seider, Raymond

  77. P3 18:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon6v5
  78. P3 18:57Goal by Raymond (Larkin)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Cirelli · DET Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  79. P3 19:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lyon6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final6v5