Wed, Apr 3, 2024·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Vancouver Canucks 2, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 07 | 116 | 110 | 233 |
| ARI | 03 | 04 | 114 | 121 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:43VANQuinn HughesPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P3 10:46ARIDylan GuentherPPAssists: Alexander Kerfoot, Clayton Keller · Snap, 0.30 xG1–1
- P3 18:09VANConor GarlandGWGAssists: Quinn Hughes, Filip Hronek · Snap, 0.04 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:47ARINick Bjugstad: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:45VANJ.T. Miller: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:45ARIJoshua Brown: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 10:15ARIClayton Keller: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:14VANJ.T. Miller: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:14ARIJack McBain: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:28VANQuinn Hughes: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:03VANQuinn Hughes: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cooley won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – Pettersson – Hoglander11:08
xG 0.91–0.22 (81%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Miller – Joshua – Garland10:41
xG 0.64–0.63 (51%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Blueger – Podkolzin – Mikheyev6:00
xG 0.32–0.70 (32%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes17:31
xG 1.31–0.33 (80%)attempts 27–13goals 1–0
- Cole – Zadorov9:14
xG 0.40–0.29 (58%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Friedman2:25
xG 0.00–0.02 (23%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCrouse – Guenther – Cooley8:55
xG 0.81–0.64 (56%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- McBain – Maccelli – Doan9:33
xG 0.01–0.20 (3%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Kerfoot – O'Brien – Carcone6:03
xG 0.02–0.31 (5%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Schmaltz – Keller11:52
xG 0.14–0.71 (16%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrown – Dermott11:16
xG 0.73–0.43 (63%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Durzi – Moser14:32
xG 0.78–0.71 (53%)attempts 16–18goals 0–1
- Välimäki – Kesselring16:32
xG 0.29–0.70 (29%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).