Sat, Apr 6, 2024·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
27%
9%
57%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.05 | 68.2% | +18.7 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.16 | 73.1% | +9.4 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.03 | 32.2% | +9.4 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.02 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.18 | 47.7% | +18.7 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.73 | 64.3% | +15.7 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.02 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.30 | 69.3% | +4.6 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.22 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:34 | 0.48 | 61.7% | +15.7 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.52 | 57.3% | +4.6 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:20 | 0.23 | 62.3% | +18.7 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.06 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.25 | 45.0% | +9.4 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.06 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:55 | 0.16 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.58 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24:09 | 0.10 | 56.6% | +11.7 |
 Jordan HarrisD · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:21 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 20:38 | 0.74 | 62.0% | +11.7 |
 Cole CaufieldRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 20:27 | 0.67 | 55.4% | +7.7 |
 David SavardD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
 Jayden StrubleD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.02 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.17 | 57.1% | +4.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.21 | 5.2% | 0.0 |
 Johnathan KovacevicD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin BarronD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.06 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Joel ArmiaRW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 |
 Tanner PearsonLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:16 | 0.41 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.04 | 6.8% | 0.0 |
 Rafael Harvey-PinardLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Colin WhiteC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.14 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael PezzettaLW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
 Cayden Primeau#30 | – | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.14 | +2.1 | 29:42 |
 Samuel Montembeault#35 | L | 12 | 8 | 4 | .667 | 1.35 | −2.6 | 27:54 |