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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 11, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Sheary, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Dumba, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 5:00Shot by Katchouk, saved by Tomkins
  6. P1 8:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 8:45Goal by Tkachuk (Chychrun)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson

  8. P1 9:45Goal by Sheary (Kucherov, Point)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Sheary, Point, Raddysh · OTT Giroux, Joseph, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  9. P1 10:03Shot by Chabot, saved by Tomkins
  10. P1 12:56Goal by Point (Kucherov, Sheary)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Sheary, Point, Raddysh · OTT Giroux, Joseph, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  11. P1 16:14Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 17:00Shot by Dumba, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 17:02Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 18:14Shot by Chychrun, saved by Tomkins
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 3:43Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg
  18. P2 4:15Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Tomkins
  19. P2 5:42Bernard-Docker: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · OTT Chychrun, Katchouk, Kastelic, Kelly, Bernard-Docker

  20. P2 5:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Forsberg5v4
  21. P2 6:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Forsberg5v4
  22. P2 6:26Shot by Kelly, saved by Tomkins5v4
  23. P2 6:40Chabot: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · OTT Chabot, Joseph, Brannstrom, Kelly

  24. P2 6:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v3
  25. P2 7:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v3
  26. P2 7:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Forsberg5v3
  27. P2 7:34Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg5v3
  28. P2 9:03Shot by Raddysh, saved by Forsberg
  29. P2 10:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tomkins
  30. P2 14:03MacEwen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Raddysh, Perbix · OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Pinto

  31. P2 16:43Shot by Batherson, saved by Tomkins
  32. P2 17:05Dumba: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Dumba, Paul, Sheary, Jeannot, Perbix · OTT Chabot, Chychrun, Katchouk, Kastelic, Smejkal

  33. P2 17:59Shot by Pinto, saved by Tomkins4v5
  34. P2 18:24Shot by Pinto, saved by Tomkins4v5
  35. P2 19:03Paul: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Paul, Perbix, Lilleberg · OTT Chabot, Joseph, Chychrun, Tkachuk, Smejkal

  36. P2 19:06Shot by Pinto, saved by Tomkins4v5
  37. P2 19:08Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tomkins4v5
  38. P2 0:00Hedman: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson

  39. P2 0:00Pinto: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson

  40. P2 0:00Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson

  41. P2 0:00Hedman: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson

  42. P2 0:00Period end3v5
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:30Shot by Giroux, saved by Tomkins3v5
  45. P3 2:10Shot by Batherson, saved by Tomkins
  46. P3 2:11Goal by Batherson (Tkachuk, Chabot)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cernak, Hagel, Eyssimont, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson

  47. P3 2:25Shot by Zub, saved by Tomkins
  48. P3 2:48Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg
  49. P3 3:58Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Tomkins
  50. P3 4:05Shot by Chychrun, saved by Tomkins
  51. P3 7:28Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg
  52. P3 7:49Tkachuk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Sheary, Point, Raddysh, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Chychrun, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Pinto

  53. P3 9:03Shot by Joseph, saved by Tomkins5v4
  54. P3 9:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  55. P3 10:27Shot by Dumba, saved by Forsberg
  56. P3 10:28Shot by Sheary, saved by Forsberg
  57. P3 14:15Shot by Joseph, saved by Tomkins
  58. P3 14:28Lilleberg: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Dumba, Paul, Sheary, Jeannot, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Joseph, Tkachuk, Greig, Zub

  59. P3 14:42Shot by Sanderson, saved by Tomkins4v5
  60. P3 14:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tomkins4v5
  61. P3 16:23Shot by Smejkal, saved by Tomkins4v5
  62. P3 19:50Shot by Katchouk, saved by Tomkins
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Forsberg3v3
  66. OT 1:19Shot by Hagel, saved by Forsberg3v3
  67. OT 2:11Shot by Chychrun, saved by Tomkins3v3
  68. OT 2:29Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Tomkins3v3
  69. OT 3:04Shot by Batherson, saved by Tomkins3v3
  70. OT 3:16Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg3v3
  71. OT 4:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Forsberg3v3
  72. OT 4:56Greig: Holding (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli · OTT Chychrun, Tkachuk, Greig

  73. OT 5:00Period end4v3
  74. SO Period start
  75. SO Goal by Tkachuk, unassistedother
  76. SO Shot by Point, saved by Forsbergother
  77. SO Period endother
  78. SO Finalother