Thu, Apr 11, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
46%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:34 | 0.09 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:59 | 0.20 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:47 | 0.01 | 80.0% | +26.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 21:46 | 0.40 | 75.2% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:26 | 0.49 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.62 | 76.9% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.38 | 45.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.39 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.02 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.27 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.04 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.06 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.21 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:21 | 0.11 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:01 | 0.04 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.02 | 95.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.00 | 95.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 3.10 | +1.1 | 64:55 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 26:01 | 0.00 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:37 | 0.10 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 23:21 | 0.55 | 89.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:43 | 0.14 | 84.3% | +33.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:30 | 0.67 | 94.7% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.75 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.05 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.27 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.01 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.48 | 76.2% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.07 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:00 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:14 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.35 | +1.4 | 64:34 |