Sun, Apr 14, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Seattle Kraken 1, St. Louis Blues 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 18 | 05 | 07 | 120 |
| STL | 16 | 011 | 311 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:24SEAJared McCannUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 18:18STLKasperi KapanenAssists: Alexey Toropchenko · Snap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P3 0:59STLJordan KyrouGWGAssists: Matthew Kessel, Brandon Saad · Snap, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 16:37STLBrayden SchennAssists: Nick Leddy, Nathan Walker · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 19:00STLNathan WalkerENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.55 xG1–4
Penalties (3)
- P1 18:43STLZach Dean: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 7:25STLBrayden Schenn: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:49SEAJaden Schwartz: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thomas won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – McCann – Yamamoto11:30
xG 0.72–0.37 (66%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Bellemare – Tanev – Kartye8:11
xG 0.10–0.12 (46%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen11:19
xG 0.35–0.43 (45%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Eberle – Burakovsky – Beniers12:19
xG 0.16–0.79 (16%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Evans16:51
xG 0.48–0.26 (65%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Larsson2:09
xG 0.04–0.03 (59%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin12:07
xG 0.51–0.51 (50%)attempts 18–13goals 0–2
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSaad – Buchnevich – Kyrou11:01
xG 0.47–0.22 (68%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Hayes – Kapanen – Toropchenko9:58
xG 0.24–0.15 (62%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Schenn – Thomas – Bolduc14:37
xG 0.86–0.95 (48%)attempts 14–23goals 0–1
- Walker – Blais – Dean7:35
xG 0.17–0.37 (32%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Kessel16:33
xG 1.04–0.42 (71%)attempts 21–14goals 3–0
- Scandella – Tucker9:13
xG 0.21–0.35 (37%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
- Parayko – Perunovich16:11
xG 0.37–0.76 (33%)attempts 11–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).