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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 16, 2024·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Florida Panthers 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Florida Panthers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 80% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Montour, saved by Woll
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Marner, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 1:44Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  5. P1 2:05Shot by Dewar, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 2:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Stolarz
  7. P1 3:00Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Stolarz
  8. P1 3:03Shot by Marner, saved by Stolarz
  9. P1 3:04Forsling: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews, Benoit

  10. P1 3:25Goal by Tavares (Marner, Rielly)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Stenlund, Mikkola, Luostarinen · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  11. P1 3:41Shot by Gregor, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 6:37Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  13. P1 6:37Tavares: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  14. P1 6:37Benoit: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  15. P1 7:47Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll5v4
  16. P1 7:59Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll5v4
  17. P1 9:08Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Stolarz
  18. P1 9:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Stolarz
  19. P1 9:27Shot by Stenlund, saved by Woll
  20. P1 9:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
  21. P1 10:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Stolarz
  22. P1 11:18Goal by Gregor, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Rodrigues, Mahura, Luostarinen, Lundell, Balinskis · TOR Edmundson, Gregor, Liljegren, Holmberg, Robertson

  23. P1 13:21Shot by Dewar, saved by Stolarz
  24. P1 14:39Rodrigues: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Rodrigues, Mahura, Luostarinen, Lundell, Balinskis · TOR Rielly, Gregor, Lyubushkin, Holmberg, Robertson

  25. P1 15:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Stolarz4v5
  26. P1 15:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Stolarz4v5
  27. P1 16:44McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Bennett, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Mahura, Balinskis · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Liljegren, Robertson, Knies

  28. P1 16:44Bertuzzi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Bennett, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Mahura, Balinskis · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Liljegren, Robertson, Knies

  29. P1 16:44Balinskis: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Bennett, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Mahura, Balinskis · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Liljegren, Robertson, Knies

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:25Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll
  33. P2 0:28Goal by Verhaeghe (Bennett, Tkachuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  34. P2 2:09Shot by Robertson, saved by Stolarz
  35. P2 2:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Stolarz
  36. P2 3:45Bertuzzi: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Cousins, Verhaeghe, Stenlund, Mahura, Balinskis · TOR Edmundson, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews

  37. P2 4:11Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  38. P2 4:38Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll5v4
  39. P2 4:40Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  40. P2 4:46Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll5v4
  41. P2 5:36Edmundson: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Rodrigues, Tkachuk · TOR Edmundson, Liljegren, Dewar, Knies

  42. P2 5:43Shot by Lundell, saved by Woll5v3
  43. P2 5:58Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll5v4
  44. P2 6:41Shot by Montour, saved by Woll5v4
  45. P2 7:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  46. P2 7:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Woll5v4
  47. P2 7:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  48. P2 8:08Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Woll
  49. P2 8:48Shot by Forsling, saved by Woll
  50. P2 10:32Goal by Bennett (Forsling, Tkachuk)+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin

  51. P2 10:41Shot by Barkov, saved by Woll
  52. P2 10:42Goal by Reinhart (Barkov)+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Tarasenko, Barkov, Reinhart, Mikkola · TOR Tavares, Edmundson, Nylander, Liljegren, Knies

  53. P2 10:48Shot by Robertson, saved by Stolarz
  54. P2 10:52Shot by Robertson, saved by Stolarz
  55. P2 11:00Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  56. P2 13:17Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll
  57. P2 13:28Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll
  58. P2 13:34Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Woll
  59. P2 13:42Goal by Montour (Barkov, Tarasenko)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Tarasenko, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Lyubushkin, Knies

  60. P2 15:00Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll
  61. P2 17:00Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Woll
  62. P2 17:22Lyubushkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Tarasenko, Barkov, Reinhart, Mikkola · TOR Tavares, Edmundson, Nylander, Lyubushkin, Knies

  63. P2 17:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  64. P2 17:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  65. P2 17:46Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll5v4
  66. P2 18:55Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll5v4
  67. P2 19:16Shot by Lundell, saved by Woll5v4
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:16Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Stolarz
  71. P3 0:56Tavares: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, Knies

  72. P3 2:46Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll5v4
  73. P3 3:43Shot by Benoit, saved by Stolarz
  74. P3 3:55Shot by Barkov, saved by Woll
  75. P3 4:16Bennett: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Liljegren, Robertson

  76. P3 5:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Stolarz4v5
  77. P3 10:37Shot by Bennett, saved by Woll
  78. P3 10:38Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Woll
  79. P3 12:22Shot by Robertson, saved by Stolarz
  80. P3 12:25Mikkola: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Tarasenko, Barkov, Reinhart, Mikkola · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, Robertson

  81. P3 14:38Shot by Mahura, saved by Woll
  82. P3 14:46Shot by Mahura, saved by Woll
  83. P3 16:49Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Stolarz5v6
  84. P3 16:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Stolarz5v6
  85. P3 17:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Stolarz5v6
  86. P3 17:40Goal by Reinhart (Luostarinen)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling, Luostarinen · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  87. P3 18:57Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Stolarz5v6
  88. P3 19:15Montour: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Montour, Forsling, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Lundell · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  89. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  90. P3 0:00Final4v6