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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 16, 2024·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 80% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bertuzzi–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–KniesReaves–Kampf–DewarGregor–Holmberg–RobertsonTavares–Nylander–RobertsonNylander–Marner–MatthewsGregor–Kampf–RobertsonMcCabe–BenoitRielly–LyubushkinEdmundson–LiljegrenRielly–LiljegrenEdmundson–LyubushkinRielly–McCabe
Tarasenko–Barkov–Reinhart2:490.00–0.533:050.69–0.000:400.00–0.000:560.03–0.013:200.00–0.642:350.37–0.001:050.32–0.001:040.00–0.001:000.03–0.00
Verhaeghe–Bennett–Tkachuk3:070.32–0.022:040.01–0.071:090.00–0.030:460.03–0.000:320.41–0.002:340.01–0.011:480.19–0.081:500.19–0.030:520.41–0.00
Rodrigues–Luostarinen–Lundell0:410.00–0.030:460.01–0.000:370.00–0.074:350.03–0.361:410.01–0.211:270.01–0.002:530.02–0.22
Cousins–Stenlund–Gadjovich1:000.03–0.220:300.00–0.002:320.00–0.170:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:520.00–0.062:180.00–0.111:140.03–0.22
Tarasenko–Cousins–Stenlund0:490.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Cousins–Stenlund–Luostarinen0:370.00–0.00
Kulikov–Mikkola1:140.00–0.004:400.34–0.071:270.00–0.002:030.00–0.190:580.03–0.010:310.00–0.003:190.00–0.012:540.01–0.073:330.48–0.190:400.00–0.001:030.03–0.000:480.00–0.00
Montour–Forsling6:100.32–0.581:220.37–0.000:420.00–0.031:310.02–0.000:320.41–0.003:460.01–0.653:530.56–0.011:410.02–0.031:370.41–0.00
Mahura–Balinskis3:490.00–0.172:210.04–0.171:060.01–0.002:540.01–0.212:030.00–0.111:380.03–0.03
Forsling–Mikkola0:380.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTarasenko FReinhart FBarkov FVerhaeghe FBennett FTkachuk FLundell FRodrigues FLuostarinen FGadjovich FCousins FStenlund FForsling DMontour DKulikov DMikkola DBalinskis DMahura DStolarz GMarner FMatthews FBertuzzi FTavares FKnies FNylander FRobertson FHolmberg FGregor FDewar FKampf FReaves FRielly DLyubushkin DMcCabe DBenoit DLiljegren DEdmundson DWoll G
FLATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon MontourFLA2827:040:582:1244
Gustav ForslingFLA2923:540:491:5734
Morgan RiellyTOR2822:460:491:4725
Mitch MarnerTOR2622:310:521:5236
Jake McCabeTOR3021:530:441:5916
Sam ReinhartFLA2521:390:521:4851
Aleksander BarkovFLA2620:340:471:4141
Auston MatthewsTOR2319:290:511:5333
Carter VerhaegheFLA2018:530:571:5442
Matthew TkachukFLA2118:270:532:0343
Dmitry KulikovFLA2618:060:421:3433
Niko MikkolaFLA2418:030:451:3532
Simon BenoitTOR2817:330:381:1627
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2517:290:421:2521
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2617:190:401:3413
William NylanderTOR2117:150:492:0863
Joel EdmundsonTOR2516:410:401:2014
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2216:280:451:4154
Sam BennettFLA2216:190:451:4433
Tyler BertuzziTOR2115:490:451:1622
Vladimir TarasenkoFLA2115:270:441:2140
John TavaresTOR2015:180:462:0352
Pontus HolmbergTOR1714:110:501:2002
Anton LundellFLA2013:500:421:2051
Evan RodriguesFLA2113:410:391:2031
Matthew KniesTOR2013:140:401:1032
David KampfTOR1813:110:441:2018
Noah GregorTOR1713:050:461:2002
Kevin StenlundFLA1813:000:431:3145
Nick RobertsonTOR1612:560:491:4001
Connor DewarTOR1712:220:441:1412
Uvis BalinskisFLA1410:510:471:4331
Josh MahuraFLA1510:510:431:4231
Nick CousinsFLA118:500:481:2441
Ryan ReavesTOR118:020:441:1912
Jonah GadjovichFLA86:570:521:3621