Sat, Oct 12, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
20%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:49 | 0.13 | 59.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.21 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:00 | 0.35 | 41.4% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.32 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.08 | 31.4% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.03 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.02 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.23 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.05 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.14 | 33.5% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.16 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.28 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.05 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.48 | −0.5 | 58:51 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 25:02 | 0.27 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 24:10 | 0.04 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 8 | 21:46 | 0.77 | 90.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.08 | 82.0% | +30.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 21:06 | 0.23 | 97.9% | +16.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:52 | 1.23 | 58.1% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.02 | 63.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 57.6% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.02 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.06 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:20 | 0.14 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.15 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:03 | 0.29 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 74.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.09 | +0.1 | 59:33 |