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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #58101−2223:490.1359.9%+14.7
Matt GrzelcykD · #24000−1121:580.0447.6%0.0
Erik KarlssonD · #65000−2221:390.2127.0%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87011−2321:000.3541.4%+14.7
Bryan RustRW · #17000−2220:070.3242.9%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #71022−1118:500.0831.4%+25.4
Marcus PetterssonD · #28000−2118:030.0328.8%0.0
Jack St. IvanyD · #30000017:180.0241.0%0.0
Ryan GravesD · #27000+1015:240.0051.2%0.0
Lars EllerC · #200000315:010.2355.7%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #80000214:060.0538.7%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67101−1213:380.1433.5%+10.7
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72000−1113:380.1640.6%0.0
Drew O'ConnorLW · #100000213:180.2855.7%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #55000−1013:150.0043.7%0.0
Cody GlassC · #19000−1112:240.0552.1%0.0
Rutger McGroartyRW · #20000012:190.0041.6%0.0
Kevin HayesRW · #13000−109:220.0050.9%0.0
Joel Blomqvist#30L32293.9062.48−0.558:51

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000−1525:020.2746.0%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #22000+3024:100.0480.1%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34000+2821:460.7790.5%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16112+2221:360.0882.0%+30.3
Matthew KniesLW · #23101+4321:060.2397.9%+16.1
William NylanderRW · #88202+2420:521.2358.1%+22.3
Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1220:080.0263.6%+16.1
Chris TanevD · #8000+3018:420.0063.3%0.0
Max DomiC · #11022+2016:030.0057.6%+22.3
Conor TimminsD · #25000−1114:560.0234.3%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000114:000.0631.9%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1012:350.0060.2%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #740000312:200.1443.2%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000112:140.1524.5%0.0
Max PaciorettyLW · #670000010:560.008.3%0.0
David KampfC · #64000−1210:030.2975.0%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000−1010:000.0062.1%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000−117:040.0074.4%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41W23212.9132.09+0.159:33