Wed, Oct 16, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 76% of the time.
69%
18%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 24:58 | 0.29 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.05 | 52.0% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.04 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:28 | 0.26 | 55.9% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.09 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 20.1% | +49.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.72 | 61.7% | +42.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.12 | 25.1% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.24 | 59.9% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.11 | 26.7% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.28 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.02 | 28.4% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.18 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 10:28 | 0.14 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.02 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.05 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.04 | 14.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 43 | 37 | 6 | .860 | 4.40 | −1.6 | 61:38 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.10 | 58.6% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.03 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 7 | 22:51 | 0.96 | 67.5% | +133.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22:02 | 0.63 | 48.3% | +83.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.02 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21:05 | 0.86 | 50.9% | +62.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.04 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.27 | 60.3% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.35 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.02 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.09 | 62.6% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.05 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.12 | 49.0% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.18 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.15 | 49.7% | +43.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.16 | 80.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.06 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.32 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.12 | +0.1 | 49:00 | |
| – | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 0.52 | −2.5 | 11:33 |