Fri, Oct 18, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.
23%
63%
PIT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.04 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.07 | 59.8% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:29 | 0.28 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.10 | 79.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.06 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.26 | 78.8% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.44 | 91.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.29 | 77.7% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.09 | 94.4% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.31 | 60.7% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.06 | 93.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.17 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0.40 | 64.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.34 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.17 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12:27 | 0.39 | 61.3% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:48 | 0.39 | 73.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:36 | 0.21 | 76.3% | +12.9 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.81 | +1.8 | 59:29 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:19 | 0.25 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.00 | 3.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.01 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:14 | 0.76 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.16 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.06 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.02 | 3.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.13 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.04 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.22 | 13.1% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.26 | 48.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.01 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.18 | 8.8% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.18 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.18 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:39 | 0.16 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.19 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 4.07 | +0.1 | 60:00 |