Tue, Oct 22, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Calgary Flames 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
44%
10%
39%
CGY winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:59 | 0.20 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:33 | 0.11 | 58.4% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:12 | 0.22 | 45.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.10 | 73.0% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:23 | 0.38 | 49.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.08 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.06 | 58.2% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.14 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.09 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.22 | 94.6% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.17 | 95.4% | +39.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:32 | 0.58 | 63.5% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.23 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:52 | 0.28 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.07 | 92.1% | +30.6 |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.05 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:09 | 0.08 | 27.1% | +33.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 25:20 | 0.37 | 62.5% | +62.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:33 | 0.44 | 18.5% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.17 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.31 | 63.7% | +82.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.12 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.54 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.16 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.17 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.10 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.01 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.13 | 33.6% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 18.3% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.34 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.08 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:11 | 0.00 | 45.1% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:55 | 0.04 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.92 | −0.1 | 63:55 |